Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies
Value found
+20% edgeColorado Rockies win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | 13 | 13 | 0 |
 Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests the Washington Nationals have a favorable matchup against the Colorado Rockies, given their recent form and head-to-head success. The Nationals have won 4 of the last 5 contests against the Rockies, and while both teams are struggling, Colorado's away win rate of just 25% contributes to a higher likelihood of a Nationals victory.
- Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 meetings against the Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies have a significantly lower away win rate of 25% this season.
- Nationals have a better recent form, scoring 2.7 runs and allowing 3.3 in their last 10 games compared to Rockies' 4.6 runs scored and 6.4 allowed.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Washington Nationals
- Tighter defenseWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals are conceding just 4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4/game conceded - Sharper attackColorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies are averaging 4.1 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
4.1/game - Historical edgeColorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals sit 1 place above Colorado Rockies in the table.
#4 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Washington Nationals at 55% — final result was Washington Nationals win, Washington Nationals 13-3 Colorado Rockies.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Washington Nationals have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Colorado Rockies have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Nationals are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Colorado Rockies.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Washington Nationals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.47▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -3 | 3.04▼ | 1.36▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.62▼ | 1.48▲ |
| -2 | 2.35▼ | 1.59▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.07▼ | 1.77▲ |
| -1 | 1.69▼ | 2.16▲ |
| +1 | 1.33▼ | 3.22▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.29▼ | 3.51▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| 7 | 1.52▲ | 2.45▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.72 | 2.09▲ |
| 8 | 1.86▲ | 1.94▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.02▲ | 1.82 |
| 9 | 2.27▲ | 1.60 |
| 9.5 | 2.51▼ | 1.51▼ |
| 10 | 2.78 | 1.41 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Washington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesLeague standings
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Boston Red SoxFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+
Our AI model favors Washington Nationals to win, with a 55% probability (Colorado Rockies 45%).
What time does Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies start?+
First pitch is at Aug 24, 2026, 10:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+
Washington Nationals: 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 3, 2, 3. Colorado Rockies: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 13-3.