Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4
LLWLGoals 14-127th in league
WLDDGoals 12-1411th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(4-1)
Away0W 0D 2L(2-4)
KGHM Zagłębie Arena

KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin · Capacity 16,068 · grass · Referee: M. Piszczelok

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'Marc Llinares
  2. 22'G. Tomasiewicz
  3. 34'P. Samiec-Talar (Malaly Dembélé)
  4. 52'J. Ćorluka
  5. 69'F. Szymczak (L. Szabo)
  6. 69'I. Orlikowski (J. Sypek)
  7. 69'Sebastian Kerk (M. Mlinaric)
  8. 74'Malaly Dembélé (L. Marjanac)
  9. 74'A. Timossi (M. Rosiak)
  10. 85'L. Szabo (J. Ćorluka)
  11. 86'L. Szabo
  12. 87'M. Reguła
  13. 89'J. Yriarte (Adam Ciucka)
  14. 89'M. Reguła (J. Kolan)
  15. 90+5'P. Banaszak (Maksymilian Stangret)
  16. 90+12'J. Kolan (D. Michalski)
  17. 90+12'D. Dąbrowski (D. Michalski)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Zaglebie LubinSlask Wroclaw
1.4
Goals/game
1.2
1.2
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Zaglebie Lubin win
42.75%
Draw
31.92%
Slask Wroclaw win
25.33%
52.6%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
30.1%Zaglebie Lubin clean sheet
24.7%Slask Wroclaw clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The numbers suggest a competitive match between Zaglebie Lubin and Slask Wroclaw, with both teams showing mixed recent form. Zaglebie's strong home performance could provide an edge, especially since they have won their only home match this season. However, Slask's historical advantage in head-to-head matches could play a crucial role, making a draw a plausible outcome.

  • Zaglebie Lubin won their only home game this season
  • Slask Wroclaw has lost their only away match this season
  • Historically, Slask Wroclaw has managed 3 wins in the last 5 encounters, but Zaglebie has strong home performances in the head-to-head.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Zaglebie Lubin

  • Strong home recordZaglebie Lubin

    Zaglebie Lubin have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordSlask Wroclaw

    Slask Wroclaw have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Sharper attackZaglebie Lubin

    Zaglebie Lubin are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Poor recent formZaglebie Lubin

    Zaglebie Lubin have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Zaglebie Lubin at 42.75% — final result was Zaglebie Lubin win, Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Zaglebie Lubin2.26market 44.3% · model 42.75%
Draw3.11market 32.2% · model 31.92%
Slask Wroclaw3.19market 31.3% · model 25.33%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Zaglebie Lubin have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Zaglebie Lubin wins
2Draws
3Slask Wroclaw wins
11-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Zaglebie Lubin2.26best 2.35
Draw3.11best 3.30
Slask Wroclaw3.19best 3.45

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.00best 2.06
Under 2.51.78best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.78
No1.99best 2.10

Double chance

Zaglebie Lubin/Draw1.32best 1.38
Zaglebie Lubin/Slask Wroclaw1.32best 1.36
Draw/Slask Wroclaw1.61best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.70best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.39best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.77best 2.80
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Zaglebie Lubin2.26 0.02
Draw3.11 0.24
Slask Wroclaw3.19 0.13
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Zaglebie Lubin win+1.6pp
AI
42.75%
Market
41.1%
Draw+2.1pp
AI
31.92%
Market
29.8%
Slask Wroclaw win-3.8pp
AI
25.33%
Market
29.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Zaglebie Lubin
3201+16WLW
11
Slask Wroclaw
5122-15LDWL

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.2
1.2Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Slask Wroclaw

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
75%

More Ekstraklasa predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?+

Our AI model favors Zaglebie Lubin to win, with a 42.75% probability (Draw 31.92%, Slask Wroclaw 25.33%).

Where is Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw played?+

The match is played at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin (capacity 16,068).

What time does Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 12:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).