America Mineiro vs Athletic Club
Match events
- 45'Kauan Rodrigues (Max)
- 52'Carlinhos
- 52'Luca Sosa
- 56'Enzo Santos
- 57'Yago Souza (Jorge Roa Jiménez)
- 57'Felipe Amaral (Barreto)
- 57'Zeca (Douglas Pele)
- 58'Douglas Pele
- 66'Carlinhos (Jota)
- 68'Willian (Gonzalo Mastriani)
- 69'R. Piñeiro (G. Italo)
- 73'Enzo Santos (Marcelo Henrique)
- 73'Jota (Yago Santos)
- 73'Carlinhos (Gustavinho)
- 78'Barreto
- 79'Max (Assis)
- 84'Alex Silva (Fabio)
- 86'Gonzalo Mastriani (Guilherme Parede)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a tightly contested match, as America Mineiro struggles at home but has managed to secure some draws recently. Athletic Club brings a stronger recent form and a better standing, but their away record shows a tendency to settle for draws. The numbers favor a draw, especially considering both teams' head-to-head history.
- America Mineiro has a poor home record this season with only 1 win in 10 matches.
- Athletic Club's recent away form includes 6 draws in 10 games, indicating resilience on the road.
- Historically, the last two meetings have been closely contested, with each team winning once.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors America Mineiro
- Higher league positionAthletic Club
Athletic Club sit 9 places above America Mineiro in the table.
#10 vs #19 - Poor recent formAmerica Mineiro
America Mineiro have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Weak home recordAmerica Mineiro
America Mineiro have won 1 of their last 11 home matches.
1/11 home wins - Weak away recordAthletic Club
Athletic Club have won 3 of their last 11 away matches.
3/11 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked America Mineiro at 38% — final result was Athletic Club win, America Mineiro 1-3 Athletic Club.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- America Mineiro have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Athletic Club have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 11 | LLLW |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 34 | LWWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Athletic Club
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Gonzalo MastrianiAmerica Mineiro⚽ 17.5
- 2JotaAthletic Club🅰️ 17.5
- 3WillianAmerica Mineiro7.3
- 4MaxAthletic Club🅰️ 17.2
- 5Kauan RodriguesAthletic Club⚽ 17.2
- 6CarlinhosAthletic Club⚽ 17.0
Box score
America Mineiro
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Bench (13)
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Athletic Club
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Bench (13)
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More Serie B predictions
Ponte Preta
Avai
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Fortaleza ECFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win America Mineiro vs Athletic Club?+
Our AI model favors America Mineiro to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 33%, Athletic Club 29%).
What time does America Mineiro vs Athletic Club kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).