Atlanta Dream W vs Portland Fire W
Gateway Center Arena
Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
Value found
+20.3% edgePortland Fire W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 164 total points vs the market's 179 line — leans under by 15 points.
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 91-73
Data suggests that the Atlanta Dream W enter this matchup with significant momentum, having won 8 of their last 10 games while scoring an average of 92.5 points. The home team is solid with a 65% win rate at home this season, contrasting with the Portland Fire W, who have a lower 41% season win rate and have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 89.17 points in recent outings. Overall, the stats favor the Dream significantly.
- Atlanta Dream W has a strong 65% home win rate this season.
- The Dream have won 8 of their last 10 games, averaging 92.5 points scored.
- Portland Fire W has struggled with a 41% win rate and lost 4 of their last 6 games.
- The Fire allow an average of 89.17 points per game over their last 6 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Atlanta Dream W
- Sharper attackAtlanta Dream W
Atlanta Dream W are averaging 92.5 points scored per game over their recent matches.
92.5/game - Tighter defenseAtlanta Dream W
Atlanta Dream W are conceding just 82.1 points per game over their recent matches.
82.1/game conceded - Good recent formAtlanta Dream W
Atlanta Dream W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formPortland Fire W
Portland Fire W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
Match trends
- Atlanta Dream W have averaged 92.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Portland Fire W have averaged 85 points scored per game over their last 6 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Atlanta Dream W | Portland Fire W |
|---|---|---|
| -15 | 2.12▼ | 1.66▲ |
| -14.5 | 2.06▼ | 1.71▲ |
| -14 | 2.01▼ | 1.76▲ |
| -13.5 | 1.94▼ | 1.82▲ |
| -13 | 1.90▼ | 1.87▲ |
| -12.5 | 1.84▼ | 1.93 |
| -12 | 1.76▼ | 2.01▲ |
| -11.5 | 1.70▼ | 2.06▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 177.5 | 1.75▲ | 2.00▼ |
| 178 | 1.78▲ | 1.97▼ |
| 178.5 | 1.81▲ | 1.93▼ |
| 179 | 1.86▲ | 1.91▼ |
| 179.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 180 | 1.94▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 180.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 181 | 2.02▲ | 1.75▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 6 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Indiana Fever WConnecticut Sun WLas Vegas Aces WToronto Tempo WLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WNew York Liberty WChicago Sky WFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Atlanta Dream W vs Portland Fire W?+
Our AI model favors Atlanta Dream W to win, with a 81% probability (Portland Fire W 19%).
What time does Atlanta Dream W vs Portland Fire W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).