Las Vegas Aces W vs Toronto Tempo W
Michelob Ultra Arena
Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 10:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
Total points edge
AI expects 167 total points vs the market's 177 line — leans under by 10 points.
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 89-78
Data suggests a strong advantage for the Las Vegas Aces W in this matchup, given their high home win rate and recent form. The Aces have consistently outperformed the Toronto Tempo W, who struggle significantly on the road, failing to secure any away victories this season.
- Las Vegas Aces W hold an 85% home win rate this season.
- The Aces have won 8 of their last 10 games and average 89.4 points scored during that stretch.
- Toronto Tempo W has not won a game away this season, maintaining a 0% away win rate.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Las Vegas Aces W
- Historical edgeLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Good recent formLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W are conceding just 83.5 points per game over their recent matches.
83.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- Las Vegas Aces W have averaged 89.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Tempo W have averaged 85.4 points scored per game over their last 7 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Las Vegas Aces W | Toronto Tempo W |
|---|---|---|
| -16 | 2.06▲ | 1.72▼ |
| -15.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.74▼ |
| -15 | 1.97▲ | 1.81▼ |
| -14.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.83▼ |
| -14 | 1.88▲ | 1.90▼ |
| -13.5 | 1.81▲ | 1.95▼ |
| -13 | 1.74▲ | 2.03▼ |
| -12.5 | 1.71▲ | 2.05▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 175.5 | 1.77▲ | 1.97▼ |
| 176 | 1.83▲ | 1.92▼ |
| 176.5 | 1.85▲ | 1.91▼ |
| 177 | 1.88▲ | 1.87▼ |
| 177.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 178 | 1.91▲ | 1.83▼ |
| 178.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.76▼ |
| 179 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 7 finished games.
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Who is likely to win Las Vegas Aces W vs Toronto Tempo W?+
Our AI model favors Las Vegas Aces W to win, with a 88% probability (Toronto Tempo W 12%).
What time does Las Vegas Aces W vs Toronto Tempo W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).