Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-6
The data suggests that while Chiba Lotte Marines have a solid historical record against Nippon Ham Fighters, their recent performance has been lackluster, with an average of 2.6 runs scored over their last 10 games. In contrast, the Nippon Ham Fighters have shown a stronger offensive ability, averaging 5.2 runs scored in their recent performances, which hints at their advantage heading into this matchup. Consequently, the numbers favor Nippon Ham Fighters for this game.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 6 of their last 10 games, averaging only 2.6 runs scored per game.
- Nippon Ham Fighters are performing better with a 5-5 record in their recent games, averaging 5.2 runs scored per game.
- Historically, Chiba Lotte Marines have a slight edge in their head-to-head matchups, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nippon Ham Fighters
- Sharper attackNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters are averaging 6 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
6/game - Tighter defenseNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters are conceding just 4.5 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.5/game conceded - Historical edgeNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters sit 2 places above Chiba Lotte Marines in the table.
#3 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nippon Ham Fighters at 62.86% — final result was Chiba Lotte Marines win, Chiba Lotte Marines 4-3 Nippon Ham Fighters.
Predicted score was 3-6.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Nippon Ham Fighters.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chiba Lotte Marines | Nippon Ham Fighters |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.31▲ | 1.25▼ |
| -0.5 | 2.38▲ | 1.52▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.21▲ | 1.60▼ |
| +1 | 1.96▲ | 1.71▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.74▲ | 2.03▼ |
| +2 | 1.56▲ | 2.28▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.43▲ | 2.62▼ |
| +3 | 1.33▲ | 2.98▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.34▼ | 2.96▲ |
| 5.5 | 1.56 | 2.32▼ |
| 6 | 1.64▼ | 2.13▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.84 | 1.90▼ |
| 7 | 2.02▼ | 1.71▲ |
| 7.5 | 2.31▼ | 1.55▲ |
| 8 | 2.59▼ | 1.44▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.78 | 1.38 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — | |
| 2 | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — | |
| 3 | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — | |
| 4 | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — | |
| 5 | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — | |
| 6 | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — | |
| 1 | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — | |
| 2 | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — | |
| 3 | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — | |
| 4 | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — | |
| 5 | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — | |
| 6 | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+
Our AI model favors Nippon Ham Fighters to win, with a 62.86% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 37.14%).
What time does Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+
Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0. Nippon Ham Fighters: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-3.

