Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W
Wintrust Arena
Value found
+19.1% edgeIndiana Fever W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 170 total points vs the market's 186.5 line — leans under by 16.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 23 | 26 | 13 | 90 | |
| 28 | 22 | 33 | 30 | 113 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 75-95
Data suggests that Indiana Fever W has the advantage going into the match, with their solid away win rate and recent head-to-head success against Chicago Sky W. Furthermore, Chicago Sky W's struggles on defense, combined with a low home win rate, may hinder their chances of victory.
- Indiana Fever W has won 4 of its last 10 games and has a 50% away win rate this season.
- Chicago Sky W has only a 35% home win rate this season and has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 84.8 points per game in its last 10 matchups.
- Historically, Indiana Fever W has won the last 5 meetings between the teams, with average victories of 19.4 points.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Indiana Fever W
- Sharper attackIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W are averaging 96 points scored per game over their recent matches.
96/game - Historical edgeIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Tighter defenseChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W are conceding just 88.7 points per game over their recent matches.
88.7/game conceded - Good recent formChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Indiana Fever W at 69% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Chicago Sky W 90-113 Indiana Fever W.
Predicted score was 75-95.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Indiana Fever W have averaged 96 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Sky W are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with Indiana Fever W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago Sky W | Indiana Fever W |
|---|---|---|
| +1 | 2.06▼ | 1.72▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.97▼ | 1.79▲ |
| +2 | 1.93▼ | 1.87▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.85▼ | 1.92▲ |
| +3 | 1.79▼ | 2.02▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.76▼ | 2.02▲ |
| +4 | 1.71▼ | 2.10▲ |
| +4.5 | 1.67▼ | 2.13▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 185 | 1.73▼ | 2.03 |
| 185.5 | 1.78▼ | 1.97▲ |
| 186 | 1.82▼ | 1.95▲ |
| 186.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.89 |
| 187 | 1.90▲ | 1.86 |
| 187.5 | 1.95▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 188 | 1.97▲ | 1.79▲ |
| 188.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.72▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W?+
Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 69% probability (Chicago Sky W 31%).
What time does Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W?+
Chicago Sky W: 28-23-26-13. Indiana Fever W: 28-22-33-30. Final: 90-113.

