Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W

NBA W
WWLLPts 791-8875th in Eastern Conference · 15-23
WLLWPts 960-9292nd in Eastern Conference · 25-14
Home7W 13L(1544-1695)
Away10W 10L(1718-1748)

Wintrust Arena

Value found

+19.1% edge

Indiana Fever W win

1.45AI fair odds
1.73Bookmaker odds
+19.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 170 total points vs the market's 186.5 line — leans under by 16.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chicago Sky W
2823261390
Indiana Fever W
28223330113

AI match analysis

Chicago Sky W win
31%
Indiana Fever W win
69%

Predicted score: 75-95

Data suggests that Indiana Fever W has the advantage going into the match, with their solid away win rate and recent head-to-head success against Chicago Sky W. Furthermore, Chicago Sky W's struggles on defense, combined with a low home win rate, may hinder their chances of victory.

  • Indiana Fever W has won 4 of its last 10 games and has a 50% away win rate this season.
  • Chicago Sky W has only a 35% home win rate this season and has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 84.8 points per game in its last 10 matchups.
  • Historically, Indiana Fever W has won the last 5 meetings between the teams, with average victories of 19.4 points.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Indiana Fever W

  • Sharper attackIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W are averaging 96 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    96/game
  • Historical edgeIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    5/5 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseChicago Sky W

    Chicago Sky W are conceding just 88.7 points per game over their recent matches.

    88.7/game conceded
  • Good recent formChicago Sky W

    Chicago Sky W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Indiana Fever W at 69% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Chicago Sky W 90-113 Indiana Fever W.

Predicted score was 75-95.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Indiana Fever W1.73market 58% · model 69%
Chicago Sky W2.12market 47.1% · model 31%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Indiana Fever W have averaged 96 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Sky W are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with Indiana Fever W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Chicago Sky W2.12best 2.23AI 31%
Indiana Fever W1.73best 1.80AI 69%

Point spread

LineChicago Sky WIndiana Fever W
+12.061.72
+1.51.971.79
+21.931.87
+2.51.851.92
+31.792.02
+3.51.762.02
+41.712.10
+4.51.672.13

Total points

LineOverUnder
1851.732.03
185.51.781.97
1861.821.95
186.51.881.89
1871.901.86
187.51.951.80
1881.971.79
188.52.041.72

Double chance

Draw/Away1.60
Home/Draw1.90

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Chicago Sky W2.12 0.36
Indiana Fever W1.73 0.18
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Chicago Sky W win-13.8pp
AI
31%
Market
44.8%
Indiana Fever W win+13.8pp
AI
69%
Market
55.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Chicago Sky W wins
5Indiana Fever W wins
335-454Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

78.1Points scored per game88.3
86.2Points allowed per game84.6
42.3%Field goal %44.9%
33%3-point %35%
74.7%Free throw %81.7%
37Rebounds per game33
20.6Assists per game16.9
16.7Turnovers per game13.3

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W?+

Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 69% probability (Chicago Sky W 31%).

What time does Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Sky W vs Indiana Fever W?+

Chicago Sky W: 28-23-26-13. Indiana Fever W: 28-22-33-30. Final: 90-113.