Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers
Value found
+29% edgeHanshin Tigers win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chunichi Dragons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 7 | 0 |
 Hanshin Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-6
Statistical analysis suggests that the Hanshin Tigers have a stronger form and away performance compared to the Chunichi Dragons. The numbers favor Hanshin with their recent averages showing a higher capability in scoring while allowing fewer runs. As such, Chunichi's recent struggles at home contribute to a likely unfavorable outcome.
- Chunichi Dragons have a home win rate of 45% this season.
- Hanshin Tigers have an away win rate of 58% this season.
- Over the last 10 games, Chunichi has averaged 2.9 runs scored and 4.2 runs allowed per game.
- Hanshin has averaged 3.4 runs scored and only 2.6 runs allowed per game in their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers
- Tighter defenseHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers are conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game conceded - Good recent formChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hanshin Tigers at 69% — final result was Chunichi Dragons win, Chunichi Dragons 4-2 Hanshin Tigers.
Predicted score was 3-6.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chunichi Dragons | Hanshin Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.89▲ | 1.37▲ |
| -1 | 2.34 | 1.49 |
| -0.5 | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| +0.5 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| +1 | 1.60 | 2.14 |
| +1.5 | 1.49 | 2.53▲ |
| +2 | 1.34 | 2.90▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.30▼ | 3.25▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.46 | 2.57▼ |
| 6 | 1.52▲ | 2.35▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.66▲ | 2.11▼ |
| 7 | 1.82▲ | 1.88▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.07▲ | 1.70▼ |
| 8 | 2.23▲ | 1.57▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.46 | 1.48▼ |
| 9 | 2.83▲ | 1.33 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 69% probability (Chunichi Dragons 31%).
What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Chunichi Dragons: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1. Final: 4-2.