Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chunichi Dragons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 4 | 9 | 0 |
 Hanshin Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
The statistics suggest a competitive matchup between the Chunichi Dragons and Hanshin Tigers. Chunichi has historically performed well against Hanshin recently, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters, which could give them a psychological edge. However, Hanshin's higher win percentage for the season and better overall form point to them being the favorites to win this game. The predicted final score is Chunichi 3, Hanshin 4.
- Chunichi Dragons won 4 of their last 10 games, showing some recent competitiveness.
- Hanshin Tigers have a stronger season record at 63-49 and rank 1 in the Central Division.
- Chunichi Dragons have a home win rate of 50%, while Hanshin's away win rate is 58%.
- The head-to-head record favors Chunichi 4-2 in the last 5 matchups, indicating a potential advantage in this series.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers
- Tighter defenseHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers are conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game conceded - Historical edgeChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers sit 4 places above Chunichi Dragons in the table.
#1 vs #5 - Good recent formChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 54% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hanshin Tigers at 54% — final result was Chunichi Dragons win, Chunichi Dragons 4-0 Hanshin Tigers.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chunichi Dragons | Hanshin Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.07▲ | 1.33▼ |
| -1 | 2.50 | 1.43 |
| -0.5 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| +0.5 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| +1 | 1.65 | 2.05 |
| +1.5 | 1.54▲ | 2.39▼ |
| +2 | 1.39▲ | 2.81▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.33▲ | 3.12▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.31 | 3.11▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.50 | 2.46▼ |
| 6 | 1.58 | 2.25▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.73 | 2.02▼ |
| 7 | 1.93▲ | 1.78 |
| 7.5 | 2.18▲ | 1.62 |
| 8 | 2.45 | 1.48 |
| 8.5 | 2.70 | 1.42 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 54% probability (Chunichi Dragons 46%).
What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Chunichi Dragons: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-0.