Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers

NPB
WWLLRuns 30-335th in Central Division · 51-67
LLWWRuns 33-241st in Central Division · 64-50
Home10W 10L(64-66)
Away11W 8L(79-72)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Chunichi Dragons
1020000003102
Hanshin Tigers
1000010204140

AI match analysis

Chunichi Dragons win
52%
Hanshin Tigers win
48%

Predicted score: 4-3

The data suggests that Chunichi Dragons are performing well against Hanshin Tigers, having won their last four matchups. Despite sitting at the 5th rank in the Central Division, Chunichi shows a solid home win rate of 50%. Meanwhile, Hanshin has struggled offensively, with an average of only 2.8 runs scored over their last ten games, favoring Chunichi's chances in this matchup.

  • Chunichi Dragons have won the last 4 encounters against Hanshin Tigers.
  • Chunichi Dragons have a 50% home win rate this season.
  • Hanshin Tigers have averaged only 2.8 runs scored in their last 10 games.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
70/100

Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chunichi Dragons

  • Historical edgeChunichi Dragons

    Chunichi Dragons have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackChunichi Dragons

    Chunichi Dragons are averaging 3 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    3/game
  • Tighter defenseHanshin Tigers

    Hanshin Tigers are conceding just 2.4 runs per game over their recent matches.

    2.4/game conceded
  • Higher league positionHanshin Tigers

    Hanshin Tigers sit 4 places above Chunichi Dragons in the table.

    #1 vs #5

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Chunichi Dragons at 52% — final result was Hanshin Tigers win, Chunichi Dragons 3-4 Hanshin Tigers.

Predicted score was 4-3.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chunichi Dragons1.78market 56.2% · model 52%
Hanshin Tigers1.99market 50.2% · model 48%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hanshin Tigers have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Chunichi Dragons1.78best 1.85AI 52%
Hanshin Tigers1.99best 2.08AI 48%

Point spread

LineChunichi DragonsHanshin Tigers
-1.52.711.41
-12.201.55
-0.51.771.94
+0.51.702.04
+11.512.32
+1.51.432.70
+21.303.25
+2.51.253.60

Total points

LineOverUnder
51.323.10
5.51.512.43
61.592.20
6.51.752.01
71.951.76
7.52.211.60
82.481.47
8.52.711.40

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Chunichi Dragons1.78
Hanshin Tigers1.99 0.01
27 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Chunichi Dragons win-0.8pp
AI
52%
Market
52.8%
Hanshin Tigers win+0.8pp
AI
48%
Market
47.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Chunichi Dragons wins
1Hanshin Tigers wins
19-13Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1146450+6356
2
Yomiuri Giants
1166353+3354
3
Yokohama BayStars
1155164+344
4
Yakult Swallows
1145064-8144
5
Chunichi Dragons
1185167-443
6
Hiroshima Carp
1114665-7241
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1157144+17962
2
Seibu Lions
1186652+3356
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1186454+6254
4
Orix Buffaloes
1175661-6948
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1125260-6946
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1144569-7840

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+

Our AI model favors Chunichi Dragons to win, with a 52% probability (Hanshin Tigers 48%).

What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers start?+

First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers?+

Chunichi Dragons: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0. Final: 3-4.