Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chunichi Dragons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
 Yokohama BayStars | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
Data suggests a competitive matchup, with Chunichi Dragons currently averaging 3.3 goals scored per game, while Yokohama BayStars' poor away form includes four consecutive losses. However, Yokohama recently won against Chunichi, indicating potential for a close game. The historical head-to-head shows Chunichi has had success recently, yet the overall trend favors Yokohama's scoring ability.
- Chunichi Dragons averaged 3.3 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars have lost their last 4 away matches.
- In their last 5 encounters, Chunichi Dragons won 3 times against Yokohama BayStars.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Good recent formChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 50.09% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Chunichi Dragons 3-6 Yokohama BayStars.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (64/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Yokohama BayStars.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chunichi Dragons | Yokohama BayStars |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.46▲ | 1.27▼ |
| -1 | 2.88▲ | 1.33 |
| -0.5 | 2.18▲ | 1.61▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.06▲ | 1.69▼ |
| +1 | 1.78▲ | 1.88▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.59 | 2.26 |
| +2 | 1.42▲ | 2.61▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.35▼ | 2.95▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.38▲ | 2.80▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.61▲ | 2.21▼ |
| 6 | 1.70▲ | 2.04 |
| 6.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 7 | 2.12▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.42▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 8 | 2.68▲ | 1.38▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.83 | 1.38 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 50.09% probability (Chunichi Dragons 49.91%).
What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars start?+
First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Chunichi Dragons: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2. Yokohama BayStars: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 2. Final: 3-6.