Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons
Value found
+8.2% edgeYokohama BayStars win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests that the Yokohama BayStars are favored in this matchup given their strong home performance with a 63% win rate. In contrast, the Chunichi Dragons have struggled away from home, winning only 35% of their games. Historically, Yokohama has dominated the recent head-to-head encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups. Based on these statistics, a close game is expected with Yokohama projected to score slightly more runs than Chunichi.
- Yokohama BayStars have a 63% win rate at home this season.
- Chunichi Dragons hold a 35% away win rate this season.
- Historically, Yokohama BayStars lead the last 5 head-to-head matchups 4-1 against Chunichi.
- Last 10 games, Yokohama has averaged 3.1 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed per game.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Historical edgeYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Strong home recordYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 13 of their last 19 home matches.
13/19 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 63% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Yokohama BayStars 4-2 Chunichi Dragons.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Chunichi Dragons.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yokohama BayStars | Chunichi Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.30▼ | 1.29▲ |
| -2 | 3.06▼ | 1.33▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.52▼ | 1.49▲ |
| -1 | 2.04 | 1.66 |
| -0.5 | 1.71 | 2.03 |
| +0.5 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| +1 | 1.45 | 2.44 |
| +1.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.76▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
| 6 | 1.43 | 2.61▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.58▲ | 2.25 |
| 7 | 1.72▲ | 2.00▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.97▼ | 1.77 |
| 8 | 2.12▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.35▲ | 1.54 |
| 9 | 2.68▲ | 1.41▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — | |
| 2 | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — | |
| 3 | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — | |
| 4 | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — | |
| 5 | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — | |
| 6 | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — | |
| 1 | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — | |
| 2 | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — | |
| 3 | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — | |
| 4 | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — | |
| 5 | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — | |
| 6 | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 63% probability (Chunichi Dragons 37%).
What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons start?+
First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons?+
Yokohama BayStars: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4. Chunichi Dragons: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-2.

