Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons

NPB
LLWWRuns 32-343rd in Central Division · 51-64
WWLLRuns 30-335th in Central Division · 51-67
Home13W 6L(88-72)
Away7W 13L(60-90)

Value found

+8.2% edge

Yokohama BayStars win

1.59AI fair odds
1.72Bookmaker odds
+8.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Yokohama BayStars
00000004440
Chunichi Dragons
000101000280

AI match analysis

Yokohama BayStars win
63%
Chunichi Dragons win
37%

Predicted score: 4-3

Data suggests that the Yokohama BayStars are favored in this matchup given their strong home performance with a 63% win rate. In contrast, the Chunichi Dragons have struggled away from home, winning only 35% of their games. Historically, Yokohama has dominated the recent head-to-head encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups. Based on these statistics, a close game is expected with Yokohama projected to score slightly more runs than Chunichi.

  • Yokohama BayStars have a 63% win rate at home this season.
  • Chunichi Dragons hold a 35% away win rate this season.
  • Historically, Yokohama BayStars lead the last 5 head-to-head matchups 4-1 against Chunichi.
  • Last 10 games, Yokohama has averaged 3.1 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed per game.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars

  • Historical edgeYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formChunichi Dragons

    Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong home recordYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have won 13 of their last 19 home matches.

    13/19 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Yokohama BayStars at 63% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Yokohama BayStars 4-2 Chunichi Dragons.

Predicted score was 4-3.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Yokohama BayStars1.72market 58.2% · model 63%
Chunichi Dragons2.08market 48.1% · model 37%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Chunichi Dragons.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Yokohama BayStars1.72best 1.79AI 63%
Chunichi Dragons2.08best 2.16AI 37%

Point spread

LineYokohama BayStarsChunichi Dragons
-2.53.301.29
-23.061.33
-1.52.521.49
-12.041.66
-0.51.712.03
+0.51.632.14
+11.452.44
+1.51.402.76

Total points

LineOverUnder
5.51.372.85
61.432.61
6.51.582.25
71.722.00
7.51.971.77
82.121.64
8.52.351.54
92.681.41

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Yokohama BayStars1.72 0.01
Chunichi Dragons2.08
28 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Yokohama BayStars win+8.3pp
AI
63%
Market
54.7%
Chunichi Dragons win-8.3pp
AI
37%
Market
45.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Yokohama BayStars wins
1Chunichi Dragons wins
21-13Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1146450+6356
2
Yomiuri Giants
1166353+3354
3
Yokohama BayStars
1155164+344
4
Yakult Swallows
1145064-8144
5
Chunichi Dragons
1185167-443
6
Hiroshima Carp
1114665-7241
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1157144+17962
2
Seibu Lions
1186652+3356
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1186454+6254
4
Orix Buffaloes
1175661-6948
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1125260-6946
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1144569-7840

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons?+

Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 63% probability (Chunichi Dragons 37%).

What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons start?+

First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons?+

Yokohama BayStars: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4. Chunichi Dragons: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-2.