Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars

NPB
WWLLRuns 30-335th in Central Division · 51-67
LLWWRuns 32-343rd in Central Division · 51-64
Home10W 10L(64-66)
Away9W 11L(75-62)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Chunichi Dragons
100000000160
Yokohama BayStars
100102100590

AI match analysis

Chunichi Dragons win
48%
Yokohama BayStars win
49%

Predicted score: 4-5

Data suggests a competitive matchup, with Chunichi Dragons displaying inconsistent form, winning only 2 of their last 5 games. In contrast, Yokohama BayStars have improved scoring averages, although recent losses to Chunichi provide a mixed narrative. Head-to-head results favor Yokohama with 3 wins in recent matchups, making them slight favorites in this clash.

  • Chunichi Dragons averaging 3.4 goals scored and 3 goals conceded in last 10 matches
  • Yokohama BayStars averaging 4.7 goals scored and 4 goals conceded in last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head record shows Yokohama BayStars winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
53/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars

  • Historical edgeYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formChunichi Dragons

    Chunichi Dragons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 49% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Yokohama BayStars at 49% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Chunichi Dragons 1-5 Yokohama BayStars.

Predicted score was 4-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (53/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chunichi Dragons1.83market 54.5% · model 48%
Yokohama BayStars1.92market 52% · model 49%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Chunichi Dragons have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Yokohama BayStars.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Chunichi Dragons1.83best 1.90AI 48%
Yokohama BayStars1.92best 1.99AI 49%

Point spread

LineChunichi DragonsYokohama BayStars
-1.52.871.37
-12.291.51
-0.51.861.83
+0.51.771.93
+11.552.23
+1.51.462.62
+21.313.14
+2.51.273.48

Total points

LineOverUnder
51.333.02
5.51.522.40
61.612.19
6.51.771.98
71.971.75
7.52.231.59
82.521.46
8.52.651.43

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Chunichi Dragons1.83
Yokohama BayStars1.92
13 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Chunichi Dragons win-3.2pp
AI
48%
Market
51.2%
Yokohama BayStars win+0.2pp
AI
49%
Market
48.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Chunichi Dragons wins
4Yokohama BayStars wins
14-20Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1146450+6356
2
Yomiuri Giants
1166353+3354
3
Yokohama BayStars
1155164+344
4
Yakult Swallows
1145064-8144
5
Chunichi Dragons
1185167-443
6
Hiroshima Carp
1114665-7241
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1157144+17962
2
Seibu Lions
1186652+3356
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1186454+6254
4
Orix Buffaloes
1175661-6948
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1125260-6946
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1144569-7840

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars?+

Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 49% probability (Chunichi Dragons 51%).

What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars start?+

First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars?+

Chunichi Dragons: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Yokohama BayStars: 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0. Final: 1-5.