Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W

NBA W
LLWLPts 747-8707th in Eastern Conference · 9-27
WWLLPts 791-8875th in Eastern Conference · 15-23
Home8W 12L(1576-1678)
Away4W 16L(1533-1716)

Mohegan Sun Arena

Total points edge

AI expects 220 total points vs the market's 170.5 line — leans over by 49.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Connecticut Sun W
1628271687
Chicago Sky W
821242881

AI match analysis

Connecticut Sun W win
32%
Chicago Sky W win
68%

Predicted score: 72-148

Data suggests that Chicago Sky W holds a significant edge going into this matchup, particularly given their recent form and head-to-head success. Connecticut Sun W's struggles are evident in their low win rate and poor scoring defense over the last 10 games. The numbers favor the visiting Chicago Sky W as they look to secure a key victory.

  • Connecticut Sun W has won only 1 of its last 10 games.
  • Chicago Sky W has won 4 of its last 10 games, showing better recent form.
  • Historically, Chicago Sky W leads the last 5 matchups against Connecticut Sun W, winning 4 times.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
96/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chicago Sky W

  • Sharper attackChicago Sky W

    Chicago Sky W are averaging 79.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    79.1/game
  • Historical edgeConnecticut Sun W

    Connecticut Sun W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionChicago Sky W

    Chicago Sky W sit 2 places above Connecticut Sun W in the table.

    #5 vs #7
  • Poor recent formConnecticut Sun W

    Connecticut Sun W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Chicago Sky W at 68% — final result was Connecticut Sun W win, Connecticut Sun W 87-81 Chicago Sky W.

Predicted score was 72-148.

This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chicago Sky W1.38market 72.7% · model 68%
Connecticut Sun W3.04market 32.9% · model 32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Connecticut Sun W have averaged 74.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Connecticut Sun W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Sky W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Connecticut Sun W3.04best 3.35AI 32%
Chicago Sky W1.38best 1.40AI 68%

Point spread

LineConnecticut Sun WChicago Sky W
+52.071.72
+5.52.021.74
+61.971.81
+6.51.901.89
+71.831.93
+7.51.771.97
+81.712.06
+8.51.662.10

Total points

LineOverUnder
1681.741.99
168.51.742.01
1691.831.91
169.51.831.94
1701.891.86
170.51.891.86
1712.001.78
171.51.981.77

Double chance

Home/Draw2.67
Draw/Away1.30

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Connecticut Sun W3.04 0.11
Chicago Sky W1.38 0.04
25 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Connecticut Sun W win+0.9pp
AI
32%
Market
31.1%
Chicago Sky W win-0.9pp
AI
68%
Market
68.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Connecticut Sun W wins
2Chicago Sky W wins
382-366Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

77.1Points scored per game78.1
84.6Points allowed per game86.2
44.7%Field goal %42.3%
25.6%3-point %33%
72.9%Free throw %74.7%
32.9Rebounds per game37
16.6Assists per game20.6
12.8Turnovers per game16.7

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W?+

Our AI model favors Chicago Sky W to win, with a 68% probability (Connecticut Sun W 32%).

What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W?+

Connecticut Sun W: 16-28-27-16. Chicago Sky W: 8-21-24-28. Final: 87-81.