Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W
Mohegan Sun Arena
Total points edge
AI expects 220 total points vs the market's 170.5 line — leans over by 49.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 87 | |
| 8 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 81 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 72-148
Data suggests that Chicago Sky W holds a significant edge going into this matchup, particularly given their recent form and head-to-head success. Connecticut Sun W's struggles are evident in their low win rate and poor scoring defense over the last 10 games. The numbers favor the visiting Chicago Sky W as they look to secure a key victory.
- Connecticut Sun W has won only 1 of its last 10 games.
- Chicago Sky W has won 4 of its last 10 games, showing better recent form.
- Historically, Chicago Sky W leads the last 5 matchups against Connecticut Sun W, winning 4 times.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago Sky W
- Sharper attackChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W are averaging 79.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.
79.1/game - Historical edgeConnecticut Sun W
Connecticut Sun W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W sit 2 places above Connecticut Sun W in the table.
#5 vs #7 - Poor recent formConnecticut Sun W
Connecticut Sun W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago Sky W at 68% — final result was Connecticut Sun W win, Connecticut Sun W 87-81 Chicago Sky W.
Predicted score was 72-148.
This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Connecticut Sun W have averaged 74.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Connecticut Sun W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Sky W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Connecticut Sun W | Chicago Sky W |
|---|---|---|
| +5 | 2.07▲ | 1.72▼ |
| +5.5 | 2.02▲ | 1.74▼ |
| +6 | 1.97▲ | 1.81▼ |
| +6.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.89▼ |
| +7 | 1.83▲ | 1.93▼ |
| +7.5 | 1.77▲ | 1.97▼ |
| +8 | 1.71▲ | 2.06▼ |
| +8.5 | 1.66▲ | 2.10▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 168 | 1.74▲ | 1.99 |
| 168.5 | 1.74▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 169 | 1.83▼ | 1.91▼ |
| 169.5 | 1.83 | 1.94▲ |
| 170 | 1.89▼ | 1.86▲ |
| 170.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.86▲ |
| 171 | 2.00▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 171.5 | 1.98▼ | 1.77 |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W?+
Our AI model favors Chicago Sky W to win, with a 68% probability (Connecticut Sun W 32%).
What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Connecticut Sun W vs Chicago Sky W?+
Connecticut Sun W: 16-28-27-16. Chicago Sky W: 8-21-24-28. Final: 87-81.

