Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W

NBA W
LLWLPts 747-8707th in Eastern Conference · 9-27
LWWWPts 752-7292nd in Overall Standings · 25-11
Home8W 12L(1576-1678)
Away10W 10L(1536-1540)

Mohegan Sun Arena

Total points edge

AI expects 149 total points vs the market's 151.5 line — leans under by 2.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Connecticut Sun W
1116251264
Golden State Valkyries W
262925989

AI match analysis

Connecticut Sun W win
12%
Golden State Valkyries W win
88%

Predicted score: 66-83

Data suggests a significant advantage for the Golden State Valkyries W, as they hold a strong 69% win rate this season compared to the Connecticut Sun W's 25%. Historically, the Valkyries have dominated their recent matchups, winning two out of the last three games and displaying better overall form. With Connecticut averaging only 74.7 points scored in their last ten games, the numbers favor the Valkyries for a comfortable victory.

  • Connecticut Sun W has a 25% win rate this season.
  • Golden State Valkyries W leads the Western Conference with a 69% win rate.
  • Golden State Valkyries W won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 72.9 points per game.
  • In their last 3 meetings, Golden State Valkyries W won 2 of 3 by significant margins.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Golden State Valkyries W

  • Tighter defenseGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W are conceding just 72.9 points per game over their recent matches.

    72.9/game conceded
  • Higher league positionGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W sit 5 places above Connecticut Sun W in the table.

    #2 vs #7
  • Historical edgeGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    2/3 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackConnecticut Sun W

    Connecticut Sun W are averaging 74.7 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    74.7/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Golden State Valkyries W at 88% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Connecticut Sun W 64-89 Golden State Valkyries W.

Predicted score was 66-83.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Golden State Valkyries W1.09market 92% · model 88%
Connecticut Sun W7.39market 13.5% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Connecticut Sun W have averaged 74.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Connecticut Sun W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 3 meetings with Golden State Valkyries W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Connecticut Sun W7.39best 8.70AI 12%
Golden State Valkyries W1.09best 1.12AI 88%

Point spread

LineConnecticut Sun WGolden State Valkyries W
+12.52.041.72
+132.021.76
+13.51.931.84
+141.881.92
+14.51.801.95
+151.732.03
+15.51.682.08
+161.642.12

Total points

LineOverUnder
1501.762.01
150.51.761.98
1511.831.94
151.51.891.88
1521.931.84
152.51.941.80
1532.021.74
153.52.041.71

Double chance

Draw/Away1.05
Home/Draw6.03

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Connecticut Sun W7.39 0.25
Golden State Valkyries W1.09 0.01
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Connecticut Sun W win-0.8pp
AI
12%
Market
12.8%
Golden State Valkyries W win+0.8pp
AI
88%
Market
87.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Connecticut Sun W wins
2Golden State Valkyries W wins
215-225Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

77.1Points scored per game76.9
84.6Points allowed per game74.2
44.7%Field goal %45.4%
25.6%3-point %34.1%
72.9%Free throw %81.5%
32.9Rebounds per game33.2
16.6Assists per game19.2
12.8Turnovers per game11.3

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+

Our AI model favors Golden State Valkyries W to win, with a 88% probability (Connecticut Sun W 12%).

What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+

Connecticut Sun W: 11-16-25-12. Golden State Valkyries W: 26-29-25-9. Final: 64-89.