Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W
Mohegan Sun Arena
Total points edge
AI expects 149 total points vs the market's 151.5 line — leans under by 2.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 64 | |
| 26 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 89 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 66-83
Data suggests a significant advantage for the Golden State Valkyries W, as they hold a strong 69% win rate this season compared to the Connecticut Sun W's 25%. Historically, the Valkyries have dominated their recent matchups, winning two out of the last three games and displaying better overall form. With Connecticut averaging only 74.7 points scored in their last ten games, the numbers favor the Valkyries for a comfortable victory.
- Connecticut Sun W has a 25% win rate this season.
- Golden State Valkyries W leads the Western Conference with a 69% win rate.
- Golden State Valkyries W won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 72.9 points per game.
- In their last 3 meetings, Golden State Valkyries W won 2 of 3 by significant margins.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Golden State Valkyries W
- Tighter defenseGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W are conceding just 72.9 points per game over their recent matches.
72.9/game conceded - Higher league positionGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W sit 5 places above Connecticut Sun W in the table.
#2 vs #7 - Historical edgeGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.
2/3 H2H wins - Sharper attackConnecticut Sun W
Connecticut Sun W are averaging 74.7 points scored per game over their recent matches.
74.7/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Golden State Valkyries W at 88% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Connecticut Sun W 64-89 Golden State Valkyries W.
Predicted score was 66-83.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Connecticut Sun W have averaged 74.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Connecticut Sun W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 3 meetings with Golden State Valkyries W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Connecticut Sun W | Golden State Valkyries W |
|---|---|---|
| +12.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.72▼ |
| +13 | 2.02▲ | 1.76▼ |
| +13.5 | 1.93 | 1.84▼ |
| +14 | 1.88▲ | 1.92▼ |
| +14.5 | 1.80▲ | 1.95▼ |
| +15 | 1.73 | 2.03▼ |
| +15.5 | 1.68▲ | 2.08▼ |
| +16 | 1.64▲ | 2.12▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 150 | 1.76▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 150.5 | 1.76▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 151 | 1.83▼ | 1.94▲ |
| 151.5 | 1.89 | 1.88▲ |
| 152 | 1.93▼ | 1.84▲ |
| 152.5 | 1.94▼ | 1.80▲ |
| 153 | 2.02▼ | 1.74▲ |
| 153.5 | 2.04▼ | 1.71▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Our AI model favors Golden State Valkyries W to win, with a 88% probability (Connecticut Sun W 12%).
What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Connecticut Sun W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Connecticut Sun W: 11-16-25-12. Golden State Valkyries W: 26-29-25-9. Final: 64-89.

