Dallas Wings W vs Portland Fire W — NBA W

NBA W

Dallas Wings W

96–78Full-time

Portland Fire W

LLLWWWPts 855-8448th in Overall Standings · 22-16

WLLLPts 510-5359th in Overall Standings · 15-22

Home9W 11L(1709-1722)

Away2W 2L(329-345)

College Park Center

Value found

+49.7% edge

Portland Fire W win

2.38AI fair odds

3.57Bookmaker odds

+49.7%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 176.5 line — leans under by 16.5 points.

Today

Tip-off

In Progress

Final

Score by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dallas Wings W	27	23	21	25	96
Portland Fire W	18	19	15	26	78

AI match analysis

Dallas Wings W win

58%

Portland Fire W win

42%

Predicted score: 84-76

Data suggests a competitive matchup with the Dallas Wings W holding a slight edge due to their home advantage and better overall win rate in the standings. However, the Portland Fire W have shown resilience in away games, highlighting their capability to pull off upsets. The last performances from both teams indicate close scoring but favor a modest victory for the Wings.

Dallas Wings W have a 45% home win rate this season.
Portland Fire W boast a strong 67% away win rate this season.
In their last 10 games, Dallas has averaged 83.7 points scored but allowed 86.6 points per game.
Portland has scored an average of 86.4 points in their last 5 games while allowing 87.8 points.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

59/100

Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dallas Wings W

Sharper attackPortland Fire W
Portland Fire W are averaging 85 points scored per game over their recent matches.
85/game
Tighter defenseDallas Wings W
Dallas Wings W are conceding just 84.4 points per game over their recent matches.
84.4/game conceded
Higher league positionDallas Wings W
Dallas Wings W sit 1 place above Portland Fire W in the table.
#8 vs #9

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Dallas Wings W at 58% — final result was Dallas Wings W win, Dallas Wings W 96-78 Portland Fire W.

Predicted score was 84-76.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dallas Wings W ✓1.29market 77.7% · model 58%

Portland Fire W3.57market 28.1% · model 42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Portland Fire W have averaged 85 points scored per game over their last 6 matches.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Dallas Wings W1.29▼best 1.35AI 58%

Portland Fire W3.57▲best 3.90AI 42%

Point spread

Line	Dallas Wings W	Portland Fire W
-9.5	2.05▼	1.72▲
-9	2.01▼	1.75▲
-8.5	1.91▼	1.85▲
-8	1.87▼	1.89▲
-7.5	1.80▼	1.95
-7	1.76▼	2.00▲
-6.5	1.69▼	2.07▲
-6	1.66▼	2.11▲

Total points

Line	Over	Under
174.5	1.74▲	2.02▼
175	1.76	1.99
175.5	1.81▲	1.93▼
176	1.85▲	1.90▼
176.5	1.90▼	1.86▼
177	1.94▲	1.82▼
177.5	1.97▲	1.77▼
178	2.02▲	1.74▼

Double chance

Home/Draw1.21▼

Draw/Away3.15▲

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Dallas Wings W1.29▼ 0.01

Portland Fire W3.56▼ 0.04

25 Aug – 25 Aug

Model vs market

Dallas Wings W win-15.5pp

58%

Market

73.5%

Portland Fire W win+15.5pp

42%

Market

26.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Dallas Wings W

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	FG	3PT	FT
P. Bueckers	32:47	22	4	11	5/8	3/7	3/3
Shepard Jessica	34:06	21	9	6	10/15	0/0	1/3
A. Ogunbowale	33:03	17	2	4	4/7	3/7	0/0
Kuier Awak	33:38	12	12	0	2/5	2/3	2/4
A. Smith	24:16	10	5	2	3/3	1/1	1/1

Bench (5)

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	FG	3PT	FT
M. Siegrist	20:09	9	4	2	2/4	1/3	2/2
A. Clark	08:41	3	2	0	0/1	1/2	0/0
Li Yueru	02:20	2	0	0	1/1	0/0	0/0
O. Sims	05:08	0	0	0	0/1	0/0	0/0
S. Sutton	05:52	0	0	1	0/0	0/1	0/0

Portland Fire W

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	FG	3PT	FT
Carleton Bridget	30:09	14	2	4	3/4	2/9	2/3
Gustafson Megan	28:00	13	3	1	4/4	1/5	2/2
E. Engstler	30:09	12	15	3	4/7	1/3	1/3
Leite Carla	26:52	10	0	7	3/6	1/3	1/1
N. Puoch	18:01	0	3	0	0/3	0/2	0/0

Bench (6)

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	FG	3PT	FT
Samuelson Karlie	18:50	14	1	0	2/2	2/4	4/4
F. Buhner	16:54	10	3	0	1/4	2/3	2/2
A. Okonkwo	10:45	5	2	1	0/2	1/4	2/2
Winterburn Holly	07:13	0	3	1	0/0	0/2	0/0
J. Harrison	02:29	0	1	1	0/0	0/0	0/0
Oblak Teja	10:39	0	0	2	0/4	0/1	0/0

Match statistics

60%Field goal %47%

46%3-point %28%

69%Free throw %82%

38Rebounds33

26Assists20

11Steals8

8Blocks3

12Turnovers12

—Personal fouls—

Players to watch

Dallas Wings W's leading scorerP. Bueckers23.2 ppg · 4.2 reb · 6.7 ast Portland Fire W's leading scorerLeite Carla15.7 ppg · 1.3 reb · 6 ast

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Win%	Form
1	Atlanta Dream W	37	24	13	+207	65	—
2	Indiana Fever W	39	25	14	+222	64	—
3	New York Liberty W	38	23	15	+119	61	—
4	Washington Mystics W	37	22	15	-19	60	—
5	Chicago Sky W	38	15	23	-95	40	—
6	Toronto Tempo W	37	11	26	-237	30	—
7	Connecticut Sun W	36	9	27	-288	25	—
1	Minnesota Lynx W	38	31	7	+337	82	—
2	Golden State Valkyries W	36	25	11	+212	69	—
3	Las Vegas Aces W	39	26	13	+143	67	—
4	Atlanta Dream W	37	24	13	+207	65	—
5	Indiana Fever W	39	25	14	+222	64	—
6	New York Liberty W	38	23	15	+119	61	—
7	Washington Mystics W	37	22	15	-19	60	—
8	Dallas Wings W	38	22	16	+102	58	—
9	Portland Fire W	37	15	22	-162	41	—
10	Chicago Sky W	38	15	23	-95	40	—
11	Los Angeles Sparks W	37	13	24	-193	35	—
12	Phoenix Mercury W	37	13	24	-138	35	—
13	Toronto Tempo W	37	11	26	-237	30	—
14	Connecticut Sun W	36	9	27	-288	25	—
15	Seattle Storm W	38	7	31	-210	18	—
1	Minnesota Lynx W	38	31	7	+337	82	—
2	Golden State Valkyries W	36	25	11	+212	69	—
3	Las Vegas Aces W	39	26	13	+143	67	—
4	Dallas Wings W	38	22	16	+102	58	—
5	Portland Fire W	37	15	22	-162	41	—
6	Los Angeles Sparks W	37	13	24	-193	35	—
7	Phoenix Mercury W	37	13	24	-138	35	—
8	Seattle Storm W	38	7	31	-210	18	—