Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W

NBA W
LWWWPts 855-8448th in Overall Standings · 22-16
LLLWPts 805-84015th in Overall Standings · 7-31
Home9W 11L(1709-1722)
Away11W 9L(1659-1621)

College Park Center

Value found

+121.7% edge

Seattle Storm W win

1.69AI fair odds
3.76Bookmaker odds
+121.7%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 174 total points vs the market's 175 line — leans under by 1 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Wings W
3422171992
Seattle Storm W
1718231270

AI match analysis

Dallas Wings W win
41%
Seattle Storm W win
59%

Predicted score: 84-90

Data suggests that the Seattle Storm holds an advantage based on their recent form and head-to-head success against the Dallas Wings. With an away win rate of 55% this season compared to Dallas's 40% home win rate, the numbers favor the Storm in this matchup. Additionally, the recent struggles of the Wings, losing 8 of their last 10 games, may hamper their chances. Therefore, a predicted score of 84 for the Wings and 90 for the Storm seems likely.

  • Seattle Storm has a higher away win rate at 55% this season.
  • Dallas Wings have lost 8 of their last 10 games, indicating poor form.
  • In their recent head-to-head meetings, Seattle Storm has won 3 of the last 5 matchups against Dallas.
  • Seattle Storm scored an average of 80.9 points in their last 10 games, while Dallas scored 84 points.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
40/100

Confidence is low because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Seattle Storm W

  • Tighter defenseSeattle Storm W

    Seattle Storm W are conceding just 84 points per game over their recent matches.

    84/game conceded
  • Historical edgeSeattle Storm W

    Seattle Storm W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackDallas Wings W

    Dallas Wings W are averaging 85.5 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    85.5/game
  • Good recent formDallas Wings W

    Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 40/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Seattle Storm W at 59% — final result was Dallas Wings W win, Dallas Wings W 92-70 Seattle Storm W.

Predicted score was 84-90.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (40/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dallas Wings W1.27market 79% · model 41%
Seattle Storm W3.76market 26.6% · model 59%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Seattle Storm W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dallas Wings W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Seattle Storm W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Dallas Wings W1.27best 1.30AI 41%
Seattle Storm W3.76best 4.20AI 59%

Point spread

LineDallas Wings WSeattle Storm W
-102.151.65
-9.52.041.72
-92.041.75
-8.51.941.83
-81.891.89
-7.51.811.95
-71.762.00
-6.51.692.08

Total points

LineOverUnder
1731.722.01
173.51.732.01
1741.781.96
174.51.831.91
1751.871.88
175.51.891.85
1761.981.79
176.51.971.79

Double chance

Draw/Away3.12
Home/Draw1.21

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Dallas Wings W1.27 0.07
Seattle Storm W3.76 0.45
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Dallas Wings W win-33.8pp
AI
41%
Market
74.8%
Seattle Storm W win+33.8pp
AI
59%
Market
25.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Dallas Wings W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
P. Bueckers26:1332446/106/62/2
Shepard Jessica26:45111145/110/01/1
Kuier Awak25:499722/41/42/2
A. Smith21:509403/30/03/3
A. Ogunbowale22:037260/22/51/2
Bench (5)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
M. Siegrist21:019434/60/21/1
S. Sutton17:489122/41/22/2
Li Yueru12:016400/11/23/4
A. Clark22:330320/10/10/0
O. Sims03:570000/10/10/0

Seattle Storm W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
F. Johnson26:1823624/95/100/0
J. Melbourne27:1815403/53/70/1
Malonga Dominique20:0912514/70/34/4
Magbegor Ezi25:152430/30/12/2
A. Thiam25:260600/20/30/0
Bench (7)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
T. Mair12:426110/22/40/0
Z. Cooke17:385330/31/32/2
J. Horston14:504012/20/10/0
K. Samuelson13:273300/21/40/0
M. Holmes02:420100/00/10/0
Dolson Stefanie11:200100/00/10/0
T. Thierry02:550010/00/10/0

Match statistics

51%Field goal %37%
48%3-point %31%
88%Free throw %89%
40Rebounds34
23Assists12
6Steals9
4Blocks3
15Turnovers15
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Dallas Wings W wins
4Seattle Storm W wins
376-403Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

83.4Points scored per game82.4
88.7Points allowed per game82.6
46.3%Field goal %44.3%
28.2%3-point %35.7%
80.4%Free throw %75.9%
32.6Rebounds per game31.2
19.7Assists per game20.3
12.3Turnovers per game11.7

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W?+

Our AI model favors Seattle Storm W to win, with a 59% probability (Dallas Wings W 41%).

What time does Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 8:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W?+

Dallas Wings W: 34-22-17-19. Seattle Storm W: 17-18-23-12. Final: 92-70.