Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W
College Park Center
Value found
+121.7% edgeSeattle Storm W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 174 total points vs the market's 175 line — leans under by 1 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 92 | |
| 17 | 18 | 23 | 12 | 70 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 84-90
Data suggests that the Seattle Storm holds an advantage based on their recent form and head-to-head success against the Dallas Wings. With an away win rate of 55% this season compared to Dallas's 40% home win rate, the numbers favor the Storm in this matchup. Additionally, the recent struggles of the Wings, losing 8 of their last 10 games, may hamper their chances. Therefore, a predicted score of 84 for the Wings and 90 for the Storm seems likely.
- Seattle Storm has a higher away win rate at 55% this season.
- Dallas Wings have lost 8 of their last 10 games, indicating poor form.
- In their recent head-to-head meetings, Seattle Storm has won 3 of the last 5 matchups against Dallas.
- Seattle Storm scored an average of 80.9 points in their last 10 games, while Dallas scored 84 points.
Confidence is low because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seattle Storm W
- Tighter defenseSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W are conceding just 84 points per game over their recent matches.
84/game conceded - Historical edgeSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackDallas Wings W
Dallas Wings W are averaging 85.5 points scored per game over their recent matches.
85.5/game - Good recent formDallas Wings W
Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 40/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seattle Storm W at 59% — final result was Dallas Wings W win, Dallas Wings W 92-70 Seattle Storm W.
Predicted score was 84-90.
The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (40/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seattle Storm W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Dallas Wings W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Seattle Storm W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Dallas Wings W | Seattle Storm W |
|---|---|---|
| -10 | 2.15▲ | 1.65▼ |
| -9.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.72▼ |
| -9 | 2.04▲ | 1.75▼ |
| -8.5 | 1.94 | 1.83▲ |
| -8 | 1.89▼ | 1.89▲ |
| -7.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.95 |
| -7 | 1.76▼ | 2.00▼ |
| -6.5 | 1.69▼ | 2.08 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 173 | 1.72▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 173.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 174 | 1.78▼ | 1.96▲ |
| 174.5 | 1.83▼ | 1.91▲ |
| 175 | 1.87▼ | 1.88▲ |
| 175.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.85▲ |
| 176 | 1.98▼ | 1.79▲ |
| 176.5 | 1.97▼ | 1.79▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Dallas Wings W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 26:13 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 6/10 | 6/6 | 2/2 |
| Shepard Jessica | 26:45 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 5/11 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| Kuier Awak | 25:49 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 2/2 |
| A. Smith | 21:50 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3/3 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 22:03 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0/2 | 2/5 | 1/2 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Siegrist | 21:01 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4/6 | 0/2 | 1/1 |
| S. Sutton | 17:48 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Li Yueru | 12:01 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 3/4 |
| A. Clark | 22:33 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| O. Sims | 03:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Seattle Storm W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Johnson | 26:18 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 4/9 | 5/10 | 0/0 |
| J. Melbourne | 27:18 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3/5 | 3/7 | 0/1 |
| Malonga Dominique | 20:09 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4/7 | 0/3 | 4/4 |
| Magbegor Ezi | 25:15 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 |
| A. Thiam | 25:26 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 |
Bench (7)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 12:42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 0/0 |
| Z. Cooke | 17:38 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0/3 | 1/3 | 2/2 |
| J. Horston | 14:50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| K. Samuelson | 13:27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
| M. Holmes | 02:42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| Dolson Stefanie | 11:20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| T. Thierry | 02:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W?+
Our AI model favors Seattle Storm W to win, with a 59% probability (Dallas Wings W 41%).
What time does Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 8:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Dallas Wings W vs Seattle Storm W?+
Dallas Wings W: 34-22-17-19. Seattle Storm W: 17-18-23-12. Final: 92-70.

