Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines

NPB
WWLWRuns 48-321st in Pacific Division · 72-45
LLLLRuns 36-515th in Pacific Division · 52-62
Home9W 11L(81-59)
Away6W 14L(65-112)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1032130010110
Chiba Lotte Marines
002020000461

AI match analysis

Fukuoka S. Hawks win
63%
Chiba Lotte Marines win
27%

Predicted score: 5-2

The analysis indicates a significant advantage for the Fukuoka S. Hawks, who have a strong scoring average of 4.1 runs per game while the Chiba Lotte Marines struggle defensively, allowing an average of 3.5 runs per game. Their recent head-to-head history heavily favors the Hawks, who have consistently outperformed the Marines, including a decisive 16-2 victory in their last encounter. With Fukuoka's current form remaining dominant, the numbers suggest they are likely to continue this trend.

  • Fukuoka S. Hawks scored 4.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Chiba Lotte Marines conceded 3.5 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head results favor Fukuoka, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups
  • Fukuoka S. Hawks are in strong form with 5 consecutive victories, including a dominant win against Chiba.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks

  • Good recent formFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formChiba Lotte Marines

    Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Historical edgeFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 63% — final result was Fukuoka S. Hawks win, Fukuoka S. Hawks 10-4 Chiba Lotte Marines.

Predicted score was 5-2.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fukuoka S. Hawks1.37market 72.9% · model 63%
Chiba Lotte Marines2.97market 33.7% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 4.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fukuoka S. Hawks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Fukuoka S. Hawks1.37best 1.41AI 63%
Chiba Lotte Marines2.97best 3.10AI 27%

Point spread

LineFukuoka S. HawksChiba Lotte Marines
-3.52.911.38
-32.561.42
-2.52.251.57
-22.031.70
-1.51.821.92
-11.532.28
-0.51.382.84
+0.51.343.05

Total points

LineOverUnder
61.372.85
6.51.502.45
71.612.17
7.51.831.91
81.941.76
8.52.141.64
92.481.48
9.52.701.41

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Fukuoka S. Hawks1.37 0.01
Chiba Lotte Marines2.97 0.06
12 Aug12 Aug

Model vs market

Fukuoka S. Hawks win-5.4pp
AI
63%
Market
68.4%
Chiba Lotte Marines win-4.6pp
AI
27%
Market
31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Fukuoka S. Hawks wins
2Chiba Lotte Marines wins
37-14Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1166650+6957
2
Yomiuri Giants
1186355+2753
3
Yokohama BayStars
1175364+645
4
Yakult Swallows
1165264-7145
5
Chunichi Dragons
1205169-743
6
Hiroshima Carp
1134667-8241
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1177245+18062
2
Seibu Lions
1206852+3857
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1206654+6655
4
Orix Buffaloes
1195762-7048
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1145262-7346
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1164571-8339

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+

Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 63% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 37%).

What time does Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+

First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+

Fukuoka S. Hawks: 1, 0, 3, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 10-4.