Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka S. Hawks
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
 Fukuoka S. Hawks | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
Data suggests that Fukuoka S. Hawks hold a significant advantage going into this matchup, supported by their impressive away win rate and recent form. Historically, they have outperformed Chiba Lotte Marines in head-to-head matchups, including a dominating 9-0 win recently. Meanwhile, Chiba's struggles are evident in their last 10 games, where they have allowed more runs than they have scored.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have a strong away win rate of 74% this season.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have allowed an average of 4.6 runs over their last 10 games.
- In the last five matchups, Chiba Lotte Marines have lost to Fukuoka S. Hawks four times, including a recent 0-9 defeat.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks scored an average of 5 runs in their last 10 games, highlighting their offensive strength.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks
- Sharper attackFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks are averaging 5.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
5.2/game - Historical edgeFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Tighter defenseFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks are conceding just 2.7 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game conceded - Higher league positionFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks sit 4 places above Chiba Lotte Marines in the table.
#1 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 64% — final result was Chiba Lotte Marines win, Chiba Lotte Marines 6-5 Fukuoka S. Hawks.
Predicted score was 3-5.
This was a high confidence pick (88/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 5.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Fukuoka S. Hawks.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chiba Lotte Marines | Fukuoka S. Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.20 | 1.27 |
| -0.5 | 2.35 | 1.54 |
| +0.5 | 2.26 | 1.58 |
| +1 | 2.02 | 1.67 |
| +1.5 | 1.79 | 1.95 |
| +2 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| +2.5 | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| +3 | 1.39 | 2.72 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
| 6.5 | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| 7 | 1.61 | 2.20 |
| 7.5 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| 8 | 1.95 | 1.76 |
| 8.5 | 2.13 | 1.64 |
| 9 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| 9.5 | 2.70 | 1.41 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka S. Hawks?+
Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 64% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 36%).
What time does Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka S. Hawks start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka S. Hawks?+
Chiba Lotte Marines: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2. Fukuoka S. Hawks: 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-5.