Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
 Chiba Lotte Marines | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-2
Data suggests a strong advantage for Fukuoka S. Hawks, particularly given their recent dominance over Chiba Lotte Marines in head-to-head matchups. The Hawks average significantly higher runs scored and have been formidable at home, while the Marines struggle offensively and defensively in recent games. Given these trends, the Hawks are favored to secure a win.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks won last 5 matches against Chiba Lotte Marines
- Fukuoka S. Hawks average 5.1 runs scored per game over last 10 matches
- Chiba Lotte Marines average only 2.6 runs scored per game over last 10 matches
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have a strong recent form, winning their last 5 matches overall.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks
- Good recent formFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formChiba Lotte Marines
Chiba Lotte Marines have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 61% — final result was Chiba Lotte Marines win, Fukuoka S. Hawks 3-4 Chiba Lotte Marines.
Predicted score was 5-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 4.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chiba Lotte Marines have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Chiba Lotte Marines.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Fukuoka S. Hawks | Chiba Lotte Marines |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.03▼ | 1.32▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.65▼ | 1.43▲ |
| -2 | 2.33▼ | 1.54▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.08▼ | 1.70▲ |
| -1 | 1.69▼ | 2.00▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.51▼ | 2.42▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.47▼ | 2.55▲ |
| +1 | 1.31▼ | 2.97▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.45▼ | 2.59▲ |
| 7 | 1.51▼ | 2.37▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 8 | 1.83▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.02▼ | 1.75▲ |
| 9 | 2.25▼ | 1.58▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.51▼ | 1.47▲ |
| 10 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 116 | 66 | 50 | +69 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 118 | 63 | 55 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 117 | 53 | 64 | +6 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 116 | 52 | 64 | -71 | 45 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 120 | 51 | 69 | -7 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 113 | 46 | 67 | -82 | 41 | — |
| 1 | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 117 | 72 | 45 | +180 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 120 | 68 | 52 | +38 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 120 | 66 | 54 | +66 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 119 | 57 | 62 | -70 | 48 | — |
| 5 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 114 | 52 | 62 | -73 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 116 | 45 | 71 | -83 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 61% probability (Chiba Lotte Marines 39%).
What time does Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines start?+
First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines?+
Fukuoka S. Hawks: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1. Chiba Lotte Marines: 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-4.