Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes
Value found
+1.8% edgeFukuoka S. Hawks win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 7-4
Data suggests that Fukuoka S. Hawks, leading the division with a strong home record, are in solid form, particularly against the Orix Buffaloes. Historically, the Hawks have dominated their recent meetings, resulting in a significant advantage. The Buffaloes, with a losing record and weak away performance, are likely to struggle defensively against a potent Hawks offense, suggesting a favorable outcome for the home team.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have a .622 win percentage this season, ranking 1st in the Pacific Division.
- In their last 10 games, the Hawks scored an average of 6.7 runs while allowing only 3.7 runs per game.
- The Hawks have won 7 of the last 8 matchups against the Buffaloes, including a recent 7-1 victory.
- Orix Buffaloes have struggled, allowing an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 10, with an overall negative run differential.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks
- Sharper attackFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks are averaging 5.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
5.2/game - Tighter defenseFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks are conceding just 2.7 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game conceded - Historical edgeFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionFukuoka S. Hawks
Fukuoka S. Hawks sit 3 places above Orix Buffaloes in the table.
#1 vs #4
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 66% — final result was Orix Buffaloes win, Fukuoka S. Hawks 0-3 Orix Buffaloes.
Predicted score was 7-4.
This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 5.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fukuoka S. Hawks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Orix Buffaloes.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Fukuoka S. Hawks | Orix Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.81 | 1.39 |
| -2 | 2.56 | 1.45 |
| -1.5 | 2.17 | 1.65 |
| -1 | 1.76 | 1.91 |
| -0.5 | 1.58 | 2.25 |
| +0.5 | 1.52 | 2.39 |
| +1 | 1.33 | 2.88 |
| +1.5 | 1.31 | 3.18 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
| 6.5 | 1.57 | 2.29 |
| 7 | 1.70 | 2.04 |
| 7.5 | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| 8 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| 8.5 | 2.24 | 1.58 |
| 9 | 2.62 | 1.42 |
| 9.5 | 2.76 | 1.39 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — | |
| 2 | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — | |
| 3 | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — | |
| 4 | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — | |
| 5 | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — | |
| 6 | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — | |
| 1 | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — | |
| 2 | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — | |
| 3 | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — | |
| 4 | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — | |
| 5 | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — | |
| 6 | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes?+
Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 66% probability (Orix Buffaloes 34%).
What time does Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes?+
Fukuoka S. Hawks: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2. Final: 0-3.

