Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes

NPB
WLWWRuns 52-271st in Pacific Division · 72-44
LWLLRuns 32-554th in Pacific Division · 56-62
Home9W 11L(81-59)
Away10W 10L(63-70)

Value found

+1.8% edge

Fukuoka S. Hawks win

1.52AI fair odds
1.54Bookmaker odds
+1.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Fukuoka S. Hawks
000000000040
Orix Buffaloes
000000102370

AI match analysis

Fukuoka S. Hawks win
66%
Orix Buffaloes win
34%

Predicted score: 7-4

Data suggests that Fukuoka S. Hawks, leading the division with a strong home record, are in solid form, particularly against the Orix Buffaloes. Historically, the Hawks have dominated their recent meetings, resulting in a significant advantage. The Buffaloes, with a losing record and weak away performance, are likely to struggle defensively against a potent Hawks offense, suggesting a favorable outcome for the home team.

  • Fukuoka S. Hawks have a .622 win percentage this season, ranking 1st in the Pacific Division.
  • In their last 10 games, the Hawks scored an average of 6.7 runs while allowing only 3.7 runs per game.
  • The Hawks have won 7 of the last 8 matchups against the Buffaloes, including a recent 7-1 victory.
  • Orix Buffaloes have struggled, allowing an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 10, with an overall negative run differential.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fukuoka S. Hawks

  • Sharper attackFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks are averaging 5.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    5.2/game
  • Tighter defenseFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks are conceding just 2.7 runs per game over their recent matches.

    2.7/game conceded
  • Historical edgeFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionFukuoka S. Hawks

    Fukuoka S. Hawks sit 3 places above Orix Buffaloes in the table.

    #1 vs #4

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Fukuoka S. Hawks at 66% — final result was Orix Buffaloes win, Fukuoka S. Hawks 0-3 Orix Buffaloes.

Predicted score was 7-4.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fukuoka S. Hawks1.54market 64.8% · model 66%
Orix Buffaloes2.42market 41.4% · model 34%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fukuoka S. Hawks have averaged 5.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fukuoka S. Hawks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Orix Buffaloes.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Fukuoka S. Hawks1.54best 1.58AI 66%
Orix Buffaloes2.42best 2.54AI 34%

Point spread

LineFukuoka S. HawksOrix Buffaloes
-2.52.811.39
-22.561.45
-1.52.171.65
-11.761.91
-0.51.582.25
+0.51.522.39
+11.332.88
+1.51.313.18

Total points

LineOverUnder
61.422.65
6.51.572.29
71.702.04
7.51.921.83
82.081.67
8.52.241.58
92.621.42
9.52.761.39

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Fukuoka S. Hawks win+4.9pp
AI
66%
Market
61.1%
Orix Buffaloes win-4.9pp
AI
34%
Market
38.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Fukuoka S. Hawks wins
2Orix Buffaloes wins
19-5Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1156550+6656
2
Yomiuri Giants
1176354+3054
3
Yokohama BayStars
1165264+545
4
Yakult Swallows
1155164-7944
5
Chunichi Dragons
1195168-643
6
Hiroshima Carp
1124666-7441
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1167244+18162
2
Seibu Lions
1196752+3756
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1196554+6455
4
Orix Buffaloes
1185662-7148
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1135261-7146
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1154570-8239

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes?+

Our AI model favors Fukuoka S. Hawks to win, with a 66% probability (Orix Buffaloes 34%).

What time does Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes start?+

First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes?+

Fukuoka S. Hawks: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2. Final: 0-3.