Golden State Valkyries W vs Dallas Wings W

NBA W
LWWWPts 752-7292nd in Overall Standings · 25-11
LWWWPts 855-8448th in Overall Standings · 22-16
Home12W 8L(1572-1438)
Away3W 17L(1596-1777)

Chase Center

Value found

+4.5% edge

Dallas Wings W win

2.86AI fair odds
2.99Bookmaker odds
+4.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 150 total points vs the market's 162.5 line — leans under by 12.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Valkyries W
2024181678
Dallas Wings W
199182470

AI match analysis

Golden State Valkyries W win
65%
Dallas Wings W win
35%

Predicted score: 78-72

Data suggests the Golden State Valkyries W are in good form, winning 8 of their last 10 games, and possess a 65% success rate at home this season. In contrast, the Dallas Wings W have struggled on the road, winning just 15% of their away games. Head-to-head, the Valkyries have consistently outperformed the Wings, winning 3 of their last 4 matchups, which indicates a clear advantage for the home team.

  • Golden State Valkyries W have a 65% home win rate this season.
  • Dallas Wings W have won only 15% of their away games this season.
  • In their last 10 games, the Valkyries averaged 75.9 points scored while allowing 73.4 points.
  • Historically, the Valkyries have a winning record against the Wings in their recent matchups.],
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Golden State Valkyries W

  • Tighter defenseGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W are conceding just 72.9 points per game over their recent matches.

    72.9/game conceded
  • Historical edgeGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Good recent formGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formDallas Wings W

    Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Golden State Valkyries W at 65% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Golden State Valkyries W 78-70 Dallas Wings W.

Predicted score was 78-72.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Golden State Valkyries W1.39market 72.2% · model 65%
Dallas Wings W2.99market 33.5% · model 35%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Golden State Valkyries W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 4 meetings with Dallas Wings W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Golden State Valkyries W1.39best 1.41AI 65%
Dallas Wings W2.99best 3.18AI 35%

Point spread

LineGolden State Valkyries WDallas Wings W
-82.121.67
-7.52.041.72
-71.981.78
-6.51.921.85
-61.861.92
-5.51.781.96
-51.712.05
-4.51.672.10

Total points

LineOverUnder
160.51.722.03
1611.761.98
161.51.801.94
1621.841.91
162.51.881.87
1631.921.83
163.51.961.79
1642.011.74

Double chance

Draw/Away2.72
Home/Draw1.27

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Golden State Valkyries W1.39 0.04
Dallas Wings W2.99 0.29
17 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Golden State Valkyries W win-3.3pp
AI
65%
Market
68.3%
Dallas Wings W win+3.3pp
AI
35%
Market
31.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Golden State Valkyries W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
Williams Gabby32:0923735/123/84/4
V. Burton32:2816452/53/63/4
Thornton Kayla32:577311/31/52/2
Zandalasini Cecilia14:575241/21/40/0
K. Stokes23:460500/10/00/0
Bench (5)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
Salaun Janelle18:4910321/42/62/2
T. Hayes19:3810412/62/50/0
Charles Kaila13:495202/20/11/2
K. Chen08:182011/10/10/0
L. Amihere03:090000/00/00/0

Dallas Wings W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
P. Bueckers33:2721237/131/54/4
A. Ogunbowale37:0117434/61/76/6
A. Smith29:5313525/61/30/0
Shepard Jessica25:414721/40/02/4
A. Clark20:483420/11/10/0
Bench (4)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
M. Siegrist16:027302/31/20/0
Kuier Awak20:073701/10/21/1
S. Sutton04:432011/10/00/0
O. Sims12:180120/10/20/0

Match statistics

42%Field goal %58%
33%3-point %23%
86%Free throw %87%
30Rebounds33
17Assists15
7Steals7
1Blocks4
11Turnovers18
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Golden State Valkyries W wins
1Dallas Wings W wins
331-317Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

76.9Points scored per game83.4
74.2Points allowed per game88.7
45.4%Field goal %46.3%
34.1%3-point %28.2%
81.5%Free throw %80.4%
33.2Rebounds per game32.6
19.2Assists per game19.7
11.3Turnovers per game12.3

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Golden State Valkyries W vs Dallas Wings W?+

Our AI model favors Golden State Valkyries W to win, with a 65% probability (Dallas Wings W 35%).

What time does Golden State Valkyries W vs Dallas Wings W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Golden State Valkyries W vs Dallas Wings W?+

Golden State Valkyries W: 20-24-18-16. Dallas Wings W: 19-9-18-24. Final: 78-70.