Hiroshima Carp vs Yokohama BayStars
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
 Yokohama BayStars | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests that Hiroshima Carp is in a favorable position heading into this matchup, with a strong 60% win rate at home this season. In contrast, the Yokohama BayStars have struggled recently, averaging only 2.7 runs scored over their last 10 games, which reflects their ongoing difficulties. Historically, Hiroshima Carp has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head contests, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters.
- Hiroshima Carp has a 60% home win rate this season.
- Yokohama BayStars has lost 7 of their last 10 games, averaging only 2.7 runs scored.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matchups, Hiroshima Carp leads with 3 wins against Yokohama BayStars.
- Hiroshima Carp has allowed an average of 3.4 runs in their last 10 games, showing solid pitching.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hiroshima Carp
- Good recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp are averaging 3.3 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.3/game - Tighter defenseHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp are conceding just 3.3 runs per game over their recent matches.
3.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hiroshima Carp at 60% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Hiroshima Carp 1-6 Yokohama BayStars.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yokohama BayStars.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Hiroshima Carp | Yokohama BayStars |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.45▼ | 1.27▲ |
| -2 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| -1.5 | 2.51▼ | 1.49▲ |
| -1 | 2.01 | 1.68 |
| -0.5 | 1.65▼ | 2.11▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.56▼ | 2.27▲ |
| +1 | 1.37 | 2.71 |
| +1.5 | 1.32 | 3.08▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.25 | 3.43 |
| 4.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.73▼ |
| 5 | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| 5.5 | 1.75▼ | 2.00▲ |
| 6 | 1.89▲ | 1.81 |
| 6.5 | 2.09▲ | 1.67▼ |
| 7 | 2.48▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.77▲ | 1.42 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hiroshima Carp vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Our AI model favors Hiroshima Carp to win, with a 60% probability (Yokohama BayStars 40%).
What time does Hiroshima Carp vs Yokohama BayStars start?+
First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Hiroshima Carp vs Yokohama BayStars?+
Hiroshima Carp: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Yokohama BayStars: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 0, 0. Final: 1-6.