Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus
Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima · Capacity 40,728 · grass
Match events
- 22'Leo Ceara (Yan)
- 25'K. Misao
- 43'Yan (Y. Matsumura)
- 45'Yuma Suzuki
- 46'Yuki Nogami (Shuhei Tokumoto)
- 46'M. Yoshida (H. Hayashu)
- 46'Y. Yamagishi (Mateus)
- 48'Leo Ceara
- 55'Naomichi Ueda
- 69'Matheus Bueno (G. Shibasaki)
- 69'Leo Ceara (A. Cavric)
- 74'Ryuji Izumi (Y. Asano)
- 77'Sho Inagaki
- 87'Y. Kimura (Kensuke Nagai)
- 88'Teruki Hara (Y. Sato)
- 88'Yuma Suzuki (Homare Tokuda)
- 90+8'I. Sekigawa
- 90+10'T. Uchida
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
Data suggests that Kashima is in strong form, having won four of their last five matches and showing a solid defensive record. In contrast, Nagoya Grampus is struggling, with five consecutive losses, highlighting their vulnerability. Historically, Kashima has dominated their recent head-to-heads against Nagoya, with four wins in the last five meetings. These factors combined indicate a favorable outcome for Kashima in this matchup.
- Kashima unbeaten in last 5 matches, winning 4 of them
- Nagoya Grampus has lost last 5 matches
- In their last 5 encounters, Kashima has won 4 against Nagoya Grampus
- Kashima scored an average of 1.3 goals while conceding only 0.9 in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kashima
- Higher league positionKashima
Kashima sit 11 places above Nagoya Grampus in the table.
#2 vs #13 - Good recent formKashima
Kashima have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formNagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Tighter defenseKashima
Kashima are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kashima at 51% — final result was Kashima win, Kashima 2-1 Nagoya Grampus.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kashima have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nagoya Grampus have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Nagoya Grampus
KashimaKashimaNagoya GrampusKashimaNagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusKashimaNagoya GrampusKashimaKashimaNagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusKashimaKashimaNagoya GrampusOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
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Shimizu S-pulseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?+
Our AI model favors Kashima to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 22%).
Where is Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus played?+
The match is played at Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima (capacity 40,728).
What time does Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).