New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
Match events
- 12'D. Lovitz
- 23'Sam Surridge
- 58'Matthew Corcoran
- 61'Cade Cowell (Mijahir Jimenez)
- 61'Emil Forsberg (Mohammed Sofo)
- 62'D. Lovitz (Andy Najar)
- 62'Shakur Mohammed (Cristian Espinoza)
- 70'Matthew Corcoran (Patrick Yazbek)
- 70'Elias Saad (Ahmed Qasem)
- 80'Dylan Nealis (J. Marshall-Rutty)
- 86'R. Baker-Whiting (Josh Bauer)
- 88'Justin Che (T. Parker)
- 90+2'Julián Bazán
- 90+2'Maxwell Woledzi (Cristian Espinoza)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 2.1
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Analysis suggests that Nashville SC, standing first in the league with a strong recent form, may have the edge over the New York Red Bulls, who are struggling with just one win in their last five matches. The head-to-head history has been competitive but leans slightly toward Nashville, indicating they could secure a favorable result away from home.
- Nashville SC ranks 1st in the league with 43 points compared to New York Red Bulls' 8th place and 25 points.
- New York Red Bulls have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating struggling recent form.
- Nashville SC's away record includes 4 wins, suggesting resilience on the road.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nashville SC
- Higher league positionNashville SC
Nashville SC sit 7 places above New York Red Bulls in the table.
#1 vs #8 - Poor recent formNew York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Good recent formNashville SC
Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackNashville SC
Nashville SC are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nashville SC at 40% — final result was Nashville SC win, New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Red Bulls have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nashville SC have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Nashville SC
New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsNashville SCNew York Red BullsNashville SCNashville SCNew York Red BullsNashville SCNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsNashville SCNashville SCNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsNashville SCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 26 | LLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +26 | 49 | WWDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
L. Hernandez
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Maxwell WoledziNashville SC⚽ 18.3
- 2Ronald DonkorNew York Red Bulls8.3
- 3Adri MehmetiNew York Red Bulls8.0
- 4Brian SchwakeNashville SC7.5
- 5Dylan NealisNew York Red Bulls7.5
- 6Andy NajarNashville SC7.3
Box score
New York Red Bulls
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Bench (9)
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Nashville SC
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Bench (9)
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Real Salt LakeFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?+
Our AI model favors Nashville SC to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 35%).
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).