Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
LWDDGoals 12-15
WDLGoals 5-2
Kicks off in

Value found

+0.5% edge

Dinamo Tirana win

9.43AI fair odds
9.48Bookmaker odds
+0.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
PafosDinamo Tirana
1.2
Goals/game
1.7
1.5
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Pafos win
70.93%
Draw
18.47%
Dinamo Tirana win
10.6%
48.2%BTTS
46%Over 2.5
20.5%Pafos clean sheet
39.3%Dinamo Tirana clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests Pafos holds a significant advantage, particularly given their recent meeting with Dinamo Tirana ending in a draw. Their scoring average of 1.2 goals per game, along with a solid home performance, indicates they could find the net more effectively than their opponents. On the other hand, Dinamo Tirana's recent form shows inconsistency, especially with their inability to score in their last game. Overall, the numbers favor a competitive match, but Pafos appears more likely to secure a win.

  • Pafos has not lost to Dinamo Tirana in their recent encounter, ending in a draw.
  • Pafos averages 1.2 goals scored in their last 10 matches, suggesting decent attacking potential.
  • Dinamo Tirana's recent form shows a struggle with only 1 goal scored in their last match.
  • Pafos's home advantage remains strong, highlighted by their performance against higher-ranked teams.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Pafos

  • Tighter defenseDinamo Tirana

    Dinamo Tirana are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Sharper attackDinamo Tirana

    Dinamo Tirana are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Dinamo Tirana has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Pafos have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dinamo Tirana have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 3 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Pafos wins
1Draws
0Dinamo Tirana wins
1-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Pafos1.30best 1.36
Draw4.96best 5.36
Dinamo Tirana9.48best 11.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.72best 1.76
Under 2.52.06best 2.11

Both teams to score

Yes2.13best 2.25
No1.64best 1.67

Double chance

Pafos/Draw1.04best 1.08
Pafos/Dinamo Tirana1.14best 1.17
Draw/Dinamo Tirana3.30best 3.46

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Pafos1.30
Draw4.96 0.01
Dinamo Tirana9.48 0.08
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Pafos win-0.5pp
AI
70.93%
Market
71.4%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
18.47%
Market
18.8%
Dinamo Tirana win+0.8pp
AI
10.6%
Market
9.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.67
1.5Goals conceded per game0.67

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 3 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Pafos

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Dinamo Tirana

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?+

Our AI model favors Pafos to win, with a 70.93% probability (Draw 18.47%, Dinamo Tirana 10.6%).

What time does Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).