Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W
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+19.9% edgeSeattle Storm W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 177 line — leans under by 17 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle Storm W | 11 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 80 |
 Chicago Sky W | 23 | 23 | 14 | 22 | 82 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 84-76
Data suggests that Seattle Storm W has a strong historical advantage in their matchups against Chicago Sky W, currently holding a win rate of 55% at home. Chicago's struggles on the road further compound their challenges, as they have lost 7 of their last 10 games and have won only 15% of their away games this season.
- Seattle Storm W has won 5 of their last 10 games against the Chicago Sky W.
- Chicago Sky W has a low away win rate of 15% this season.
- In their last head-to-head matchups, Seattle Storm W has consistently outscored Chicago Sky W.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seattle Storm W
- Historical edgeSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W are averaging 80.5 points scored per game over their recent matches.
80.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seattle Storm W at 55% — final result was Chicago Sky W win, Seattle Storm W 80-82 Chicago Sky W.
Predicted score was 84-76.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (52/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seattle Storm W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seattle Storm W are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Sky W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seattle Storm W | Chicago Sky W |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.08▼ | 1.76▲ |
| +0.5 | 2.08▼ | 1.76▲ |
| +1 | 2.06▼ | 1.71▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
| +2 | 1.95▲ | 1.83▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.90▼ |
| +3 | 1.82▲ | 1.96▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.75▲ | 2.02▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 175.5 | 1.74▲ | 2.01 |
| 176 | 1.76▲ | 1.99▼ |
| 176.5 | 1.83▲ | 1.92▼ |
| 177 | 1.86▼ | 1.89 |
| 177.5 | 1.91▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 178 | 1.94▲ | 1.81▼ |
| 178.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 179 | 2.02▲ | 1.74▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Seattle Storm W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malonga Dominique | 29:39 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 5/12 | 0/2 | 9/10 |
| Magbegor Ezi | 24:57 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6/9 | 1/3 | 2/2 |
| J. Melbourne | 35:16 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2/8 | 2/5 | 1/3 |
| F. Johnson | 30:10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1/3 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
| J. Horston | 09:05 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Bench (6)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thiam | 29:11 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3/4 | 2/6 | 2/2 |
| Z. Cooke | 15:47 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4/5 | 0/3 | 2/3 |
| K. Samuelson | 12:15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| M. Holmes | 02:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| T. Mair | 04:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Dolson Stefanie | 06:30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Chicago Sky W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cardoso | 30:12 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 7/15 | 0/0 | 8/11 |
| N. Cloud | 33:54 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4/7 | 1/5 | 9/9 |
| C. Vandersloot | 30:12 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 3/4 |
| J. Sheldon | 19:24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
| A. Stevens | 27:44 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1/3 | 0/4 | 1/2 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carrington | 13:50 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2/9 | 1/4 | 1/1 |
| R. Banham | 12:11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 |
| E. Williams | 13:45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| A. Coulibaly | 13:53 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| G. Jaquez | 04:55 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
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Who is likely to win Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W?+
Our AI model favors Seattle Storm W to win, with a 55% probability (Chicago Sky W 45%).
What time does Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 16, 2026, 9:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Seattle Storm W vs Chicago Sky W?+
Seattle Storm W: 11-18-26-25. Chicago Sky W: 23-23-14-22. Final: 80-82.