Seattle Storm W vs Portland Fire W
Climate Pledge Arena
Total points edge
AI expects 158 total points vs the market's 179.5 line — leans under by 21.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seattle Storm W | 16 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 82 |
 Portland Fire W | 26 | 22 | 14 | 22 | 84 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 84-74
Data suggests that Seattle Storm W has the edge going into this match, having secured victories in 6 of their last 10 games. Additionally, their home performance reflects an equal win rate this season, which supports their chances against Portland Fire W, especially considering Portland's recent struggle with defensive consistency.
- Seattle Storm W has won 6 of its last 10 games
- Seattle Storm W has a home win rate of 50% this season
- Portland Fire W's last game resulted in a loss with high points allowed
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this game has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seattle Storm W
- Poor recent formSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formPortland Fire W
Portland Fire W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W are averaging 80.5 points scored per game over their recent matches.
80.5/game - Tighter defenseSeattle Storm W
Seattle Storm W are conceding just 84 points per game over their recent matches.
84/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seattle Storm W at 58% — final result was Portland Fire W win, Seattle Storm W 82-84 Portland Fire W.
Predicted score was 84-74.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seattle Storm W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Portland Fire W have averaged 85 points scored per game over their last 6 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seattle Storm W | Portland Fire W |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5 | 2.10▼ | 1.67▲ |
| -5 | 2.04▼ | 1.72▲ |
| -4.5 | 1.97▼ | 1.78▲ |
| -4 | 1.93▼ | 1.83▲ |
| -3.5 | 1.87▼ | 1.91▲ |
| -3 | 1.82▼ | 1.96▲ |
| -2.5 | 1.75▼ | 2.01▲ |
| -2 | 1.71▼ | 2.08▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 177.5 | 1.72▲ | 2.03▼ |
| 178 | 1.77▲ | 1.97▼ |
| 178.5 | 1.80▲ | 1.95▼ |
| 179 | 1.83▲ | 1.91▼ |
| 179.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.88▼ |
| 180 | 1.94▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 180.5 | 1.95▲ | 1.79▼ |
| 181 | 2.02▲ | 1.74▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Seattle Storm W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magbegor Ezi | 26:30 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 3/3 |
| J. Melbourne | 33:59 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1/7 | 3/5 | 1/1 |
| J. Horston | 25:16 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1/4 | 3/9 | 1/2 |
| Malonga Dominique | 23:25 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 3/12 | 0/3 | 3/4 |
| N. Hiedeman | 31:54 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thiam | 22:12 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/8 | 2/2 |
| Z. Cooke | 13:40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| K. Samuelson | 11:39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
| Dolson Stefanie | 09:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| T. Thierry | 02:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Portland Fire W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carleton Bridget | 28:30 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1/3 | 4/10 | 0/0 |
| Gustafson Megan | 27:51 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 4/7 |
| Leite Carla | 27:24 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 2/4 |
| E. Engstler | 27:26 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4/8 | 0/4 | 1/1 |
| N. Puoch | 14:47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winterburn Holly | 21:23 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 7/9 | 1/5 | 3/3 |
| F. Buhner | 12:34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 |
| Samuelson Karlie | 15:21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
| Oblak Teja | 12:37 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
| S. Williams | 12:09 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/2 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 6 finished games.
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Who is likely to win Seattle Storm W vs Portland Fire W?+
Our AI model favors Seattle Storm W to win, with a 58% probability (Portland Fire W 42%).
What time does Seattle Storm W vs Portland Fire W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Seattle Storm W vs Portland Fire W?+
Seattle Storm W: 16-20-18-28. Portland Fire W: 26-22-14-22. Final: 82-84.