Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W

NBA W
LWLLPts 598-6526th in Eastern Conference · 11-26
LLWWPts 894-8353rd in Overall Standings · 26-13
Home1W 2L(255-268)
Away14W 6L(1708-1614)

Coca-Cola Coliseum

Total points edge

AI expects 172 total points vs the market's 180.5 line — leans under by 8.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Tempo W
2217182178
Las Vegas Aces W
2518232288

AI match analysis

Toronto Tempo W win
20%
Las Vegas Aces W win
80%

Predicted score: 82-90

The numbers favor the Las Vegas Aces W, who have been performing well with a 65% away win rate and scoring an average of 91.3 points in their recent outings. In contrast, the Toronto Tempo W struggles defensively, allowing an average of 94.8 points per game in their last five games and recently losing four of them. Given this context, the Aces are predicted to secure a comfortable victory.

  • Las Vegas Aces W has a stronger away win rate at 65% this season
  • Toronto Tempo W has lost 4 of their last 5 games
  • Las Vegas Aces W scores an average of 91.3 points per game over their last 10 games
  • Toronto Tempo W allows an average of 94.8 points scored against them in their last 5 games
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this game has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Las Vegas Aces W

  • Poor recent formToronto Tempo W

    Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formLas Vegas Aces W

    Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Tighter defenseLas Vegas Aces W

    Las Vegas Aces W are conceding just 83.5 points per game over their recent matches.

    83.5/game conceded
  • Sharper attackLas Vegas Aces W

    Las Vegas Aces W are averaging 89.4 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    89.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Las Vegas Aces W at 80% — final result was Las Vegas Aces W win, Toronto Tempo W 78-88 Las Vegas Aces W.

Predicted score was 82-90.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Las Vegas Aces W1.17market 85.5% · model 80%
Toronto Tempo W4.92market 20.3% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Toronto Tempo W have averaged 85.4 points scored per game over their last 7 matches.
  • Las Vegas Aces W have averaged 89.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Toronto Tempo W4.92best 5.50AI 20%
Las Vegas Aces W1.17best 1.19AI 80%

Point spread

LineToronto Tempo WLas Vegas Aces W
+9.52.061.71
+102.021.78
+10.51.931.84
+111.871.92
+11.51.821.94
+121.742.03
+12.51.692.08
+13.51.672.15

Total points

LineOverUnder
178.51.732.02
1791.752.02
179.51.811.94
1801.831.93
180.51.871.89
1811.891.87
181.51.961.79
1821.991.77

Double chance

Home/Draw4.08
Draw/Away1.13

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Toronto Tempo W4.92 1.22
Las Vegas Aces W1.17 0.04
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Toronto Tempo W win+0.8pp
AI
20%
Market
19.2%
Las Vegas Aces W win-0.8pp
AI
80%
Market
80.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Match statistics

49%Field goal %64%
37%3-point %25%
83%Free throw %75%
28Rebounds29
22Assists22
6Steals11
2Blocks3
15Turnovers11
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

85.4Points scored per game89.3
93.1Points allowed per game81.2
51.8%Field goal %48.1%
36%3-point %36.9%
77%Free throw %83.2%
29.3Rebounds per game29.6
19.8Assists per game20.5
12.8Turnovers per game11.3

Based on each team's last 7 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W?+

Our AI model favors Las Vegas Aces W to win, with a 80% probability (Toronto Tempo W 20%).

What time does Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W?+

Toronto Tempo W: 22-17-18-21. Las Vegas Aces W: 25-18-23-22. Final: 78-88.