Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W
Coca-Cola Coliseum
Total points edge
AI expects 172 total points vs the market's 180.5 line — leans under by 8.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 78 | |
| 25 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 88 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 82-90
The numbers favor the Las Vegas Aces W, who have been performing well with a 65% away win rate and scoring an average of 91.3 points in their recent outings. In contrast, the Toronto Tempo W struggles defensively, allowing an average of 94.8 points per game in their last five games and recently losing four of them. Given this context, the Aces are predicted to secure a comfortable victory.
- Las Vegas Aces W has a stronger away win rate at 65% this season
- Toronto Tempo W has lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Las Vegas Aces W scores an average of 91.3 points per game over their last 10 games
- Toronto Tempo W allows an average of 94.8 points scored against them in their last 5 games
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this game has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Las Vegas Aces W
- Poor recent formToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W are conceding just 83.5 points per game over their recent matches.
83.5/game conceded - Sharper attackLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W are averaging 89.4 points scored per game over their recent matches.
89.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Las Vegas Aces W at 80% — final result was Las Vegas Aces W win, Toronto Tempo W 78-88 Las Vegas Aces W.
Predicted score was 82-90.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Tempo W have averaged 85.4 points scored per game over their last 7 matches.
- Las Vegas Aces W have averaged 89.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Tempo W | Las Vegas Aces W |
|---|---|---|
| +9.5 | 2.06▼ | 1.71▲ |
| +10 | 2.02▼ | 1.78▲ |
| +10.5 | 1.93▼ | 1.84▲ |
| +11 | 1.87▼ | 1.92▲ |
| +11.5 | 1.82▼ | 1.94▲ |
| +12 | 1.74▼ | 2.03▲ |
| +12.5 | 1.69▼ | 2.08▲ |
| +13.5 | 1.67▼ | 2.15▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 178.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.02▲ |
| 179 | 1.75▼ | 2.02▲ |
| 179.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.94▲ |
| 180 | 1.83▼ | 1.93▲ |
| 180.5 | 1.87▼ | 1.89▲ |
| 181 | 1.89▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 181.5 | 1.96▼ | 1.79▲ |
| 182 | 1.99▼ | 1.77▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 7 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W?+
Our AI model favors Las Vegas Aces W to win, with a 80% probability (Toronto Tempo W 20%).
What time does Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Toronto Tempo W vs Las Vegas Aces W?+
Toronto Tempo W: 22-17-18-21. Las Vegas Aces W: 25-18-23-22. Final: 78-88.

