Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yakult Swallows | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
The analysis suggests a closely contested game, with the Yomiuri Giants showing stronger recent form, averaging 4 runs scored in their last 10 games compared to Yakult's 3.2. The Yakult Swallows do maintain a good home win rate of 68%, but they have struggled recently against the Giants, who won their last encounter. The numbers favor a slight edge for Yomiuri, indicating a potential final score of 4-3 in their favor.
- Yakult Swallows have a 68% home win rate this season
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4 runs scored and 2.8 runs allowed over their last 10 games
- Yakult Swallows rank 4th in the division, while Yomiuri Giants rank 2nd
- In their last 5 matchups, Yomiuri Giants hold a 3-2 edge over Yakult Swallows
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Poor recent formYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Strong home recordYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have won 11 of their last 19 home matches.
11/19 home wins - Strong away recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 8 of their last 19 away matches.
8/19 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 58% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Yakult Swallows 3-5 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 3-4.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yakult Swallows have averaged 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yakult Swallows are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yakult Swallows | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.92 | 1.32 |
| -0.5 | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| +0.5 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| +1 | 1.82 | 1.84 |
| +1.5 | 1.64▼ | 2.17▲ |
| +2 | 1.47▼ | 2.51▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.39▼ | 2.82▲ |
| +3 | 1.27▼ | 3.28▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.30 | 3.09 |
| 5.5 | 1.52▲ | 2.42▼ |
| 6 | 1.60▲ | 2.20▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.76▲ | 1.99▼ |
| 7 | 1.96▲ | 1.76▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.21▲ | 1.60▼ |
| 8 | 2.48▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.67▲ | 1.45▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 | Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 58% probability (Yakult Swallows 42%).
What time does Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Yakult Swallows: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 2. Final: 3-5.