Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants

NPB
LLLWRuns 27-404th in Central Division · 51-64
WWWLRuns 41-262nd in Central Division · 63-54
Home11W 8L(84-69)
Away8W 11L(73-80)

Value found

+6.3% edge

Yomiuri Giants win

1.61AI fair odds
1.71Bookmaker odds
+6.3%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Yakult Swallows
100000010240
Yomiuri Giants
6200001009170

AI match analysis

Yakult Swallows win
38%
Yomiuri Giants win
62%

Predicted score: 3-5

Data suggests a significant edge for the Yomiuri Giants, who have not only outperformed Yakult Swallows in recent matchups, winning 5 out of the last 10 encounters, but also boast a superior season record. The Giants' recent form shows them averaging 4.4 runs scored per game compared to Yakult's 2.8, indicating stronger offensive production. Consequently, the estimated probabilities lean toward an away victory for the Giants.

  • Yomiuri Giants have won 5 of the last 10 matchups against Yakult Swallows.
  • Yakult Swallows are averaging only 2.8 runs scored per game in their last 10 games.
  • Yomiuri Giants have a stronger overall season record (62-53) compared to Yakult Swallows (50-63).
  • The Giants have performed better recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants

  • Sharper attackYomiuri Giants

    Yomiuri Giants are averaging 4.1 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    4.1/game
  • Historical edgeYomiuri Giants

    Yomiuri Giants have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formYakult Swallows

    Yakult Swallows have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formYomiuri Giants

    Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Yomiuri Giants at 62% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Yakult Swallows 2-9 Yomiuri Giants.

Predicted score was 3-5.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Yomiuri Giants1.71market 58.3% · model 62%
Yakult Swallows2.08market 48.1% · model 38%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Yakult Swallows have averaged 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yakult Swallows are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Yakult Swallows2.08best 2.15AI 38%
Yomiuri Giants1.71best 1.78AI 62%

Point spread

LineYakult SwallowsYomiuri Giants
-1.53.061.33
-12.601.40
-0.52.121.65
+0.52.051.69
+11.791.87
+1.51.632.19
+21.492.44
+2.51.412.72

Total points

LineOverUnder
6.51.432.75
71.472.50
7.51.652.12
81.751.97
8.51.911.83
92.121.64
9.52.381.53
102.491.42

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Yakult Swallows2.08 0.02
Yomiuri Giants1.71 0.01
27 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Yakult Swallows win-7.2pp
AI
38%
Market
45.2%
Yomiuri Giants win+7.2pp
AI
62%
Market
54.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Yakult Swallows wins
4Yomiuri Giants wins
20-21Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1156550+6656
2
Yomiuri Giants
1176354+3054
3
Yokohama BayStars
1165264+545
4
Yakult Swallows
1155164-7944
5
Chunichi Dragons
1195168-643
6
Hiroshima Carp
1124666-7441
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1167244+18162
2
Seibu Lions
1196752+3756
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1196554+6455
4
Orix Buffaloes
1185662-7148
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1135261-7146
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1154570-8239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+

Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 62% probability (Yakult Swallows 38%).

What time does Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants start?+

First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+

Yakult Swallows: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 6, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 2-9.