Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants
Value found
+6.3% edgeYomiuri Giants win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
Data suggests a significant edge for the Yomiuri Giants, who have not only outperformed Yakult Swallows in recent matchups, winning 5 out of the last 10 encounters, but also boast a superior season record. The Giants' recent form shows them averaging 4.4 runs scored per game compared to Yakult's 2.8, indicating stronger offensive production. Consequently, the estimated probabilities lean toward an away victory for the Giants.
- Yomiuri Giants have won 5 of the last 10 matchups against Yakult Swallows.
- Yakult Swallows are averaging only 2.8 runs scored per game in their last 10 games.
- Yomiuri Giants have a stronger overall season record (62-53) compared to Yakult Swallows (50-63).
- The Giants have performed better recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Sharper attackYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are averaging 4.1 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
4.1/game - Historical edgeYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 62% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Yakult Swallows 2-9 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 3-5.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yakult Swallows have averaged 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yakult Swallows are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yakult Swallows | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.06▲ | 1.33▼ |
| -1 | 2.60▲ | 1.40▼ |
| -0.5 | 2.12▲ | 1.65▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.05▲ | 1.69▼ |
| +1 | 1.79▲ | 1.87▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.63 | 2.19 |
| +2 | 1.49▲ | 2.44 |
| +2.5 | 1.41▲ | 2.72 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.43▼ | 2.75▲ |
| 7 | 1.47▼ | 2.50▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.65 | 2.12▲ |
| 8 | 1.75▼ | 1.97▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.91▼ | 1.83▲ |
| 9 | 2.12▼ | 1.64▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 10 | 2.49▼ | 1.42▲ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — | |
| 2 | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — | |
| 3 | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — | |
| 4 | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — | |
| 5 | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — | |
| 6 | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — | |
| 1 | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — | |
| 2 | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — | |
| 3 | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — | |
| 4 | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — | |
| 5 | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — | |
| 6 | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 62% probability (Yakult Swallows 38%).
What time does Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Yakult Swallows: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 6, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 2-9.

