Chicago Sky W vs Golden State Valkyries W
Wintrust Arena
Total points edge
AI expects 164 total points vs the market's 163.5 line — leans over by 0.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 11 | 24 | 73 | |
| 12 | 14 | 25 | 19 | 70 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 76-88
Statistical analysis suggests that Golden State Valkyries W holds a strong advantage, having won all four recent encounters with Chicago Sky W. Chicago Sky W's recent form shows a struggle at home, with a low win rate and an average of 78.1 points scored in their last ten games. In contrast, Golden State has averaged 72.9 points scored while allowing 75.6 over their last ten, indicating a better overall performance, especially in their matchups against Chicago.
- Chicago Sky W has a home win rate of 30% this season.
- Golden State Valkyries W has an away win rate of 40% this season.
- The head-to-head history shows Golden State winning 4 of the last 4 matchups against Chicago Sky W.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Golden State Valkyries W
- Historical edgeGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
4/4 H2H wins - Tighter defenseGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W are conceding just 72.9 points per game over their recent matches.
72.9/game conceded - Sharper attackChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W are averaging 79.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.
79.1/game - Good recent formChicago Sky W
Chicago Sky W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Golden State Valkyries W at 70% — final result was Chicago Sky W win, Chicago Sky W 73-70 Golden State Valkyries W.
Predicted score was 76-88.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Sky W are unbeaten in 0 of the last 4 meetings with Golden State Valkyries W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago Sky W | Golden State Valkyries W |
|---|---|---|
| +4.5 | 2.11▲ | 1.66▼ |
| +5 | 2.07▼ | 1.71▲ |
| +5.5 | 1.98 | 1.77 |
| +6 | 1.95▼ | 1.83▲ |
| +6.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.91▼ |
| +7 | 1.81▼ | 1.97▲ |
| +7.5 | 1.73 | 2.03▼ |
| +8 | 1.68▼ | 2.12▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 161 | 1.72▲ | 2.01▼ |
| 162 | 1.76▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 162.5 | 1.77▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 163 | 1.83▼ | 1.92▲ |
| 163.5 | 1.87▼ | 1.90▲ |
| 164 | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| 164.5 | 1.94▼ | 1.81▲ |
| 165 | 2.04▲ | 1.73▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Chicago Sky W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cloud | 36:17 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0/5 | 5/5 | 2/2 |
| S. Taylor | 18:22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 0/0 |
| K. Cardoso | 35:14 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 4/12 | 0/0 | 6/11 |
| C. Vandersloot | 28:43 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 2/2 |
| A. Stevens | 28:23 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Banham | 17:01 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 | 2/5 | 1/1 |
| J. Sheldon | 16:13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0/1 | 1/6 | 0/0 |
| G. Jaquez | 13:15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| A. Coulibaly | 01:46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| E. Williams | 04:46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Golden State Valkyries W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Burton | 18:16 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 4/5 |
| Zandalasini Cecilia | 12:16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 | 0/3 | 0/0 |
| Williams Gabby | 13:35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 2/2 |
| Thornton Kayla | 19:06 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| K. Stokes | 16:04 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Amihere | 23:56 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6/6 | 1/1 | 1/2 |
| Salaun Janelle | 20:40 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3/5 | 1/6 | 4/5 |
| T. Hayes | 29:36 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3/8 | 0/2 | 4/8 |
| K. Chen | 28:39 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2/8 | 1/2 | 0/0 |
| Charles Kaila | 17:52 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago Sky W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Our AI model favors Golden State Valkyries W to win, with a 70% probability (Chicago Sky W 30%).
What time does Chicago Sky W vs Golden State Valkyries W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Chicago Sky W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Chicago Sky W: 17-21-11-24. Golden State Valkyries W: 12-14-25-19. Final: 73-70.

