Golden State Valkyries W vs Chicago Sky W

NBA W
LWWWPts 752-7292nd in Overall Standings · 25-11
WWLLPts 791-8875th in Eastern Conference · 15-23
Home12W 8L(1572-1438)
Away4W 16L(1533-1716)

Chase Center

Value found

+116.3% edge

Chicago Sky W win

1.82AI fair odds
3.93Bookmaker odds
+116.3%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 166.5 line — leans under by 6.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Valkyries W
1627291991
Chicago Sky W
2416181371

AI match analysis

Golden State Valkyries W win
45%
Chicago Sky W win
55%

Predicted score: 76-84

The analysis suggests that the Chicago Sky W may have a slight edge, with their scoring average of 77.2 points per game indicating a better offensive performance compared to Golden State Valkyries W, who are currently struggling with a 5-match losing streak. Interestingly, the Valkyries have a solid head-to-head record against the Sky, winning their last three encounters, but recent form favors Chicago Sky W, which could influence the outcome.

  • Chicago Sky W averaging 77.2 points per game recently
  • Golden State Valkyries W have a 5-match losing streak
  • Historically, Golden State Valkyries W won the last 3 encounters against Chicago Sky W
  • Chicago Sky W have a stronger recent scoring average despite defensive struggles
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
43/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chicago Sky W

  • Historical edgeGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 43/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Chicago Sky W at 55% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Golden State Valkyries W 91-71 Chicago Sky W.

Predicted score was 76-84.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (43/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Golden State Valkyries W1.25market 80% · model 45%
Chicago Sky W3.93market 25.4% · model 55%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Sky W have averaged 79.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Golden State Valkyries W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 4 meetings with Chicago Sky W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Golden State Valkyries W1.25best 1.29AI 45%
Chicago Sky W3.93best 4.60AI 55%

Point spread

LineGolden State Valkyries WChicago Sky W
-10.52.111.67
-102.101.70
-9.52.021.75
-91.981.80
-8.51.901.88
-81.841.94
-7.51.761.99
-71.712.07

Total points

LineOverUnder
164.51.732.03
1651.762.00
165.51.791.97
1661.811.94
166.51.881.89
1671.911.85
167.51.951.79
1681.991.76

Double chance

Home/Draw1.21
Draw/Away3.17

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Golden State Valkyries W1.25 0.03
Chicago Sky W3.93 0.53
12 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Golden State Valkyries W win-30.9pp
AI
45%
Market
75.9%
Chicago Sky W win+30.9pp
AI
55%
Market
24.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Golden State Valkyries W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
V. Burton26:0513622/33/60/0
Williams Gabby23:1313335/80/23/5
Zandalasini Cecilia29:4312413/71/33/4
Thornton Kayla19:253101/30/11/1
L. Amihere15:062111/20/00/0
Bench (6)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
T. Hayes17:2522657/91/25/7
Charles Kaila24:5715525/81/42/2
K. Chen21:116100/12/20/0
A. Prechtel18:093320/10/13/3
Jocyte Juste02:232000/00/02/2
N. Fingall02:230010/00/00/0

Chicago Sky W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
K. Cardoso22:1220617/130/06/8
N. Cloud31:079493/60/23/3
J. Sheldon25:288201/22/40/0
C. Vandersloot15:196343/50/20/0
A. Stevens16:344312/20/20/0
Bench (5)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
R. Banham19:4211401/23/70/0
A. Coulibaly20:118102/21/11/2
D. Carrington24:193311/80/11/2
G. Jaquez12:522101/20/00/0
E. Williams12:160230/20/00/0

Match statistics

57%Field goal %48%
38%3-point %32%
79%Free throw %73%
30Rebounds29
17Assists19
16Steals10
3Blocks2
15Turnovers18
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Golden State Valkyries W wins
1Chicago Sky W wins
316-276Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

76.9Points scored per game78.1
74.2Points allowed per game86.2
45.4%Field goal %42.3%
34.1%3-point %33%
81.5%Free throw %74.7%
33.2Rebounds per game37
19.2Assists per game20.6
11.3Turnovers per game16.7

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Golden State Valkyries W vs Chicago Sky W?+

Our AI model favors Chicago Sky W to win, with a 55% probability (Golden State Valkyries W 45%).

What time does Golden State Valkyries W vs Chicago Sky W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 13, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Golden State Valkyries W vs Chicago Sky W?+

Golden State Valkyries W: 16-27-29-19. Chicago Sky W: 24-16-18-13. Final: 91-71.