Golden State Valkyries W vs Minnesota Lynx W
Chase Center
Total points edge
AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 162.5 line — leans under by 2.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Golden State Valkyries W | 13 | 13 | 15 | 25 | 66 |
 Minnesota Lynx W | 21 | 20 | 13 | 23 | 77 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 74-86
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Golden State Valkyries W and Minnesota Lynx W. The Minnesota Lynx W have a strong recent record against the Valkyries, winning 4 of their last 5 meetings, and they average more points scored in their recent games. Given the Valkyries' strong home performance paired with the Lynx's scoring ability, the numbers favor the away team slightly.
- Golden State Valkyries W have a home win rate of 65% this season.
- Minnesota Lynx W have won 4 of the last 5 games against Golden State Valkyries W.
- In the last 10 games, Minnesota Lynx W scored an average of 81.9 points per game, significantly higher than Golden State's 73.8.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Minnesota Lynx W
- Historical edgeMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W are averaging 81.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.
81.1/game - Tighter defenseGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W are conceding just 72.9 points per game over their recent matches.
72.9/game conceded - Good recent formGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Minnesota Lynx W at 55% — final result was Minnesota Lynx W win, Golden State Valkyries W 66-77 Minnesota Lynx W.
Predicted score was 74-86.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Minnesota Lynx W have averaged 81.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Golden State Valkyries W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Minnesota Lynx W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Golden State Valkyries W | Minnesota Lynx W |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.75▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.75▼ |
| +1 | 2.08▼ | 1.70▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.99▼ | 1.77▲ |
| +2 | 1.95▼ | 1.84▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.87▼ | 1.91▲ |
| +3 | 1.81 | 1.98 |
| +3.5 | 1.74▼ | 2.03▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 160.5 | 1.73▲ | 2.03▼ |
| 161 | 1.77▲ | 1.99▼ |
| 161.5 | 1.82▲ | 1.95▼ |
| 162 | 1.91▲ | 1.86▼ |
| 162.5 | 1.91▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 163 | 1.98▲ | 1.81▼ |
| 163.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 164 | 2.06▲ | 1.74▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Golden State Valkyries W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Burton | 35:58 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 2/3 | 2/6 | 4/4 |
| Williams Gabby | 31:29 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3/8 | 1/7 | 1/1 |
| Zandalasini Cecilia | 29:56 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2/6 | 1/9 | 1/2 |
| Thornton Kayla | 18:58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
| K. Stokes | 16:41 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
Bench (4)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salaun Janelle | 24:20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 4/7 | 2/5 | 1/2 |
| T. Hayes | 24:45 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5/7 | 0/5 | 2/2 |
| Charles Kaila | 13:51 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| K. Chen | 04:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Minnesota Lynx W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Miles | 30:13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 1/2 |
| McBride Kayla Renae | 35:39 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 5/6 |
| Collier Napheesa | 36:42 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 5/10 | 0/2 | 8/8 |
| C. Williams | 28:33 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 0/0 |
| Howard Natasha | 33:39 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Bench (3)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Caldwell | 07:25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| N. Coffey | 14:53 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
| Juhasz Dorka | 12:56 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Minnesota Lynx WGolden State Valkyries WGolden State Valkyries WMinnesota Lynx WMinnesota Lynx WGolden State Valkyries WMinnesota Lynx WGolden State Valkyries WGolden State Valkyries WMinnesota Lynx WLeague standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
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Who is likely to win Golden State Valkyries W vs Minnesota Lynx W?+
Our AI model favors Minnesota Lynx W to win, with a 55% probability (Golden State Valkyries W 45%).
What time does Golden State Valkyries W vs Minnesota Lynx W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 20, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Golden State Valkyries W vs Minnesota Lynx W?+
Golden State Valkyries W: 13-13-15-25. Minnesota Lynx W: 21-20-13-23. Final: 66-77.