Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W

NBA W
WWWLPts 811-8001st in Overall Standings · 31-7
LWWWPts 752-7292nd in Overall Standings · 25-11
Home15W 5L(1722-1520)
Away10W 10L(1536-1540)

Target Center

Total points edge

AI expects 158 total points vs the market's 159 line — leans under by 1 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Lynx W
1616161866
Golden State Valkyries W
1717212580

AI match analysis

Minnesota Lynx W win
68%
Golden State Valkyries W win
32%

Predicted score: 85-73

The data suggests a strong likelihood of Minnesota Lynx W securing a victory against Golden State Valkyries W, especially given their dominant home performance with an 80% win rate. Historically, the Lynx have outperformed the Valkyries in their recent matchups, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters, including a decisive 101-72 victory. The Valkyries' struggles on the road, highlighted by a 40% away win rate, further support the view that the Lynx will be favored in this matchup.

  • Minnesota Lynx W has an 80% home win rate this season.
  • In their last 10 games, the Lynx average 84.6 points scored per game.
  • The Lynx have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Valkyries.
  • Golden State Valkyries W have only a 40% away win rate this season.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
96/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Minnesota Lynx W

  • Sharper attackMinnesota Lynx W

    Minnesota Lynx W are averaging 81.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    81.1/game
  • Historical edgeMinnesota Lynx W

    Minnesota Lynx W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    5/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formMinnesota Lynx W

    Minnesota Lynx W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formGolden State Valkyries W

    Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Minnesota Lynx W at 68% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Minnesota Lynx W 66-80 Golden State Valkyries W.

Predicted score was 85-73.

This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Minnesota Lynx W1.42market 70.5% · model 68%
Golden State Valkyries W2.84market 35.2% · model 32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Minnesota Lynx W have averaged 81.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Minnesota Lynx W are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Golden State Valkyries W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Minnesota Lynx W1.42best 1.45AI 68%
Golden State Valkyries W2.84best 2.96AI 32%

Point spread

LineMinnesota Lynx WGolden State Valkyries W
-7.52.091.68
-72.041.73
-6.51.941.79
-61.901.87
-5.51.841.93
-51.762.01
-4.51.732.03
-41.662.12

Total points

LineOverUnder
157.51.732.03
1581.801.96
158.51.821.94
1591.891.87
159.51.901.85
1601.971.78
160.51.961.77
1612.051.71

Double chance

Home/Draw1.33
Draw/Away2.55

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Minnesota Lynx W1.42 0.05
Golden State Valkyries W2.84 0.11
24 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Minnesota Lynx W win+1.3pp
AI
68%
Market
66.7%
Golden State Valkyries W win-1.3pp
AI
32%
Market
33.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

5Minnesota Lynx W wins
0Golden State Valkyries W wins
403-337Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

84.1Points scored per game76.9
79.3Points allowed per game74.2
49.5%Field goal %45.4%
39.3%3-point %34.1%
80.8%Free throw %81.5%
33.7Rebounds per game33.2
22.7Assists per game19.2
12.4Turnovers per game11.3

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+

Our AI model favors Minnesota Lynx W to win, with a 68% probability (Golden State Valkyries W 32%).

What time does Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+

Minnesota Lynx W: 16-16-16-18. Golden State Valkyries W: 17-17-21-25. Final: 66-80.