Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W
Target Center
Total points edge
AI expects 158 total points vs the market's 159 line — leans under by 1 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 66 | |
| 17 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 80 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 85-73
The data suggests a strong likelihood of Minnesota Lynx W securing a victory against Golden State Valkyries W, especially given their dominant home performance with an 80% win rate. Historically, the Lynx have outperformed the Valkyries in their recent matchups, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters, including a decisive 101-72 victory. The Valkyries' struggles on the road, highlighted by a 40% away win rate, further support the view that the Lynx will be favored in this matchup.
- Minnesota Lynx W has an 80% home win rate this season.
- In their last 10 games, the Lynx average 84.6 points scored per game.
- The Lynx have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Valkyries.
- Golden State Valkyries W have only a 40% away win rate this season.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Minnesota Lynx W
- Sharper attackMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W are averaging 81.1 points scored per game over their recent matches.
81.1/game - Historical edgeMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Good recent formMinnesota Lynx W
Minnesota Lynx W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Good recent formGolden State Valkyries W
Golden State Valkyries W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Minnesota Lynx W at 68% — final result was Golden State Valkyries W win, Minnesota Lynx W 66-80 Golden State Valkyries W.
Predicted score was 85-73.
This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Minnesota Lynx W have averaged 81.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Golden State Valkyries W have averaged 75.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Minnesota Lynx W are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Golden State Valkyries W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Minnesota Lynx W | Golden State Valkyries W |
|---|---|---|
| -7.5 | 2.09▼ | 1.68▲ |
| -7 | 2.04▼ | 1.73▲ |
| -6.5 | 1.94▼ | 1.79▲ |
| -6 | 1.90▼ | 1.87▲ |
| -5.5 | 1.84▼ | 1.93▲ |
| -5 | 1.76▼ | 2.01▲ |
| -4.5 | 1.73▼ | 2.03▲ |
| -4 | 1.66▼ | 2.12▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 157.5 | 1.73▲ | 2.03▼ |
| 158 | 1.80▲ | 1.96▼ |
| 158.5 | 1.82▲ | 1.94▼ |
| 159 | 1.89▲ | 1.87▼ |
| 159.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 160 | 1.97▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 160.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 161 | 2.05▼ | 1.71▲ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Our AI model favors Minnesota Lynx W to win, with a 68% probability (Golden State Valkyries W 32%).
What time does Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Lynx W vs Golden State Valkyries W?+
Minnesota Lynx W: 16-16-16-18. Golden State Valkyries W: 17-17-21-25. Final: 66-80.

