Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W
Michelob Ultra Arena
Value found
+5.5% edgeLas Vegas Aces W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 162 total points vs the market's 170.5 line — leans under by 8.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 83 | |
| 16 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 76 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 87-75
Data suggests that the Las Vegas Aces W are in strong form, having won their last five matches and consistently scoring high. Contrarily, the Washington Mystics W have struggled recently, losing their last five games and averaging significantly fewer points per game. The head-to-head history also favors the Aces, indicating a higher likelihood of them securing another victory.
- Las Vegas Aces W have won their last 5 matches.
- Washington Mystics W lost their last 5 matches.
- Las Vegas Aces W average 89 points scored in last 10 matches while Washington Mystics W average 69.8.
- In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 times.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Las Vegas Aces W
- Good recent formLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formWashington Mystics W
Washington Mystics W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeLas Vegas Aces W
Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Las Vegas Aces W at 74% — final result was Las Vegas Aces W win, Las Vegas Aces W 83-76 Washington Mystics W.
Predicted score was 87-75.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Las Vegas Aces W have averaged 89.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Mystics W have averaged 81.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Las Vegas Aces W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Mystics W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Las Vegas Aces W | Washington Mystics W |
|---|---|---|
| -8 | 2.09▲ | 1.69▼ |
| -7.5 | 2.05▲ | 1.72▼ |
| -7 | 2.03▲ | 1.76▼ |
| -6.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.83▼ |
| -6 | 1.91▲ | 1.86▼ |
| -5.5 | 1.83▲ | 1.94▼ |
| -5 | 1.79▲ | 1.99▼ |
| -4.5 | 1.71▲ | 2.06▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 168.5 | 1.74▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 169 | 1.77▼ | 1.99▲ |
| 169.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.94▲ |
| 170 | 1.85▼ | 1.90 |
| 170.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.87 |
| 171 | 1.94▼ | 1.81 |
| 171.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 172 | 2.03▲ | 1.73▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Las Vegas Aces W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 35:17 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 7/8 |
| A. Wilson | 34:40 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4/10 | 1/4 | 4/5 |
| N. Smith | 28:32 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 |
| S. Talbot | 15:58 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| C. Gray | 28:54 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 2/2 |
Bench (4)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Loyd | 24:17 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0/2 | 3/7 | 4/4 |
| M. Yamamoto | 13:00 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 6/6 |
| B. Turner | 16:43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| T. Latson | 02:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Washington Mystics W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Austin | 30:27 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 11/18 | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| S. Citron | 34:26 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 7/10 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
| K. Iriafen | 26:39 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1/4 |
| M. Onyenwere | 22:55 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
| G. Amoore | 25:36 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
Bench (6)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florez Alicia | 04:26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| C. McMahon | 15:28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 3/6 |
| L. Betts | 19:23 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| B. Laney | 15:49 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| A. Dugalic | 03:31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| C. Prosper | 01:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W?+
Our AI model favors Las Vegas Aces W to win, with a 74% probability (Washington Mystics W 26%).
What time does Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 14, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W?+
Las Vegas Aces W: 25-13-20-25. Washington Mystics W: 16-16-23-21. Final: 83-76.

