Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W

NBA W
LLWWPts 894-8353rd in Overall Standings · 26-13
LWWWPts 819-8414th in Eastern Conference · 22-15
Home17W 3L(1774-1585)
Away7W 13L(1552-1678)

Michelob Ultra Arena

Value found

+5.5% edge

Las Vegas Aces W win

1.35AI fair odds
1.43Bookmaker odds
+5.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 162 total points vs the market's 170.5 line — leans under by 8.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Las Vegas Aces W
2513202583
Washington Mystics W
1616232176

AI match analysis

Las Vegas Aces W win
74%
Washington Mystics W win
26%

Predicted score: 87-75

Data suggests that the Las Vegas Aces W are in strong form, having won their last five matches and consistently scoring high. Contrarily, the Washington Mystics W have struggled recently, losing their last five games and averaging significantly fewer points per game. The head-to-head history also favors the Aces, indicating a higher likelihood of them securing another victory.

  • Las Vegas Aces W have won their last 5 matches.
  • Washington Mystics W lost their last 5 matches.
  • Las Vegas Aces W average 89 points scored in last 10 matches while Washington Mystics W average 69.8.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 times.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Las Vegas Aces W

  • Good recent formLas Vegas Aces W

    Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formWashington Mystics W

    Washington Mystics W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Historical edgeLas Vegas Aces W

    Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Las Vegas Aces W at 74% — final result was Las Vegas Aces W win, Las Vegas Aces W 83-76 Washington Mystics W.

Predicted score was 87-75.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Las Vegas Aces W1.43market 70.2% · model 74%
Washington Mystics W2.84market 35.3% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Las Vegas Aces W have averaged 89.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Washington Mystics W have averaged 81.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Las Vegas Aces W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Mystics W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Las Vegas Aces W1.43best 1.45AI 74%
Washington Mystics W2.84best 3.15AI 26%

Point spread

LineLas Vegas Aces WWashington Mystics W
-82.091.69
-7.52.051.72
-72.031.76
-6.51.931.83
-61.911.86
-5.51.831.94
-51.791.99
-4.51.712.06

Total points

LineOverUnder
168.51.742.01
1691.771.99
169.51.811.94
1701.851.90
170.51.901.87
1711.941.81
171.51.961.78
1722.031.73

Double chance

Draw/Away2.61
Home/Draw1.31

Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Las Vegas Aces W1.43 0.08
Washington Mystics W2.84 0.40
13 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Las Vegas Aces W win+7.5pp
AI
74%
Market
66.5%
Washington Mystics W win-7.5pp
AI
26%
Market
33.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Las Vegas Aces W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
J. Young35:1732255/65/87/8
A. Wilson34:4015644/101/44/5
N. Smith28:326802/30/02/2
S. Talbot15:585201/11/10/0
C. Gray28:544451/70/32/2
Bench (4)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
J. Loyd24:1713230/23/74/4
M. Yamamoto13:006110/30/16/6
B. Turner16:432211/10/00/0
T. Latson02:400000/10/10/0

Washington Mystics W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
S. Austin30:27298011/181/24/5
S. Citron34:2617387/101/40/0
K. Iriafen26:395702/50/01/4
M. Onyenwere22:555531/31/30/0
G. Amoore25:363110/31/40/0
Bench (6)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
Florez Alicia04:265001/11/10/0
C. McMahon15:285311/10/03/6
L. Betts19:234612/30/00/1
B. Laney15:493120/21/10/0
A. Dugalic03:310100/00/00/0
C. Prosper01:200000/00/00/0

Match statistics

41%Field goal %54%
40%3-point %40%
93%Free throw %50%
27Rebounds35
19Assists16
3Steals5
4Blocks1
12Turnovers17
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Las Vegas Aces W wins
2Washington Mystics W wins
403-393Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

89.3Points scored per game78.1
81.2Points allowed per game83.9
48.1%Field goal %47.3%
36.9%3-point %31.9%
83.2%Free throw %72.9%
29.6Rebounds per game34.3
20.5Assists per game20.6
11.3Turnovers per game14.8

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W?+

Our AI model favors Las Vegas Aces W to win, with a 74% probability (Washington Mystics W 26%).

What time does Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 14, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Aces W vs Washington Mystics W?+

Las Vegas Aces W: 25-13-20-25. Washington Mystics W: 16-16-23-21. Final: 83-76.