New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

MLB
LWLWRuns 47-342nd in AL East Division · 76-59
WLWWRuns 39-444th in AL East Division · 67-70
Home13W 7L(92-64)
Away10W 10L(97-97)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees
02010000341
Toronto Blue Jays
000010000190

AI match analysis

New York Yankees win
58%
Toronto Blue Jays win
31%

Predicted score: 4-3

The data suggests a competitive matchup between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, with the Yankees currently in strong form, winning 4 of their last 5 games. Historically, recent encounters have favored the Blue Jays slightly, but the Yankees' home advantage coupled with their consistent scoring makes them a likely candidate for the win.

  • New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Toronto Blue Jays scored 4.4 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head matches are closely contested with Toronto having a slight edge
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors New York Yankees

  • Good recent formNew York Yankees

    New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formToronto Blue Jays

    Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeToronto Blue Jays

    Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked New York Yankees at 58% — final result was New York Yankees win, New York Yankees 3-1 Toronto Blue Jays.

Predicted score was 4-3.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

New York Yankees1.48market 67.6% · model 58%
Toronto Blue Jays2.70market 37% · model 31%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • New York Yankees have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New York Yankees are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto Blue Jays.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

New York Yankees1.48best 1.52AI 58%
Toronto Blue Jays2.70best 2.84AI 31%

Point spread

LineNew York YankeesToronto Blue Jays
-3.53.661.26
-33.191.32
-2.52.691.46
-22.401.57
-1.52.071.78
-11.682.19
+11.283.48
+1.51.263.68

Total points

LineOverUnder
5.51.422.81
61.482.60
6.51.642.23
71.821.99
7.52.051.79
82.271.62
8.52.481.52
92.861.39

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

New York Yankees1.48 0.05
Toronto Blue Jays2.70 0.12
21 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

New York Yankees win-6.6pp
AI
58%
Market
64.6%
Toronto Blue Jays win-4.4pp
AI
31%
Market
35.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2New York Yankees wins
3Toronto Blue Jays wins
17-17Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1357263+4853
2
Cleveland Guardians
1366868-1250
3
Minnesota Twins
1366472-6047
4
Detroit Tigers
1356372+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1376275-7345
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1358154+5360
2
New York Yankees
1357659+9556
3
Boston Red Sox
1357461+10655
4
Toronto Blue Jays
1376770-5749
5
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
1
Houston Astros
1366868-4650
2
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
3
Seattle Mariners
1366472-6547
4
Athletics
1355382-18639
5
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1358154+5360
2
New York Yankees
1357659+9556
3
Boston Red Sox
1357461+10655
4
Chicago White Sox
1357263+4853
5
Cleveland Guardians
1366868-1250
6
Houston Astros
1366868-4650
7
Toronto Blue Jays
1376770-5749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
9
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
10
Seattle Mariners
1366472-6547
11
Minnesota Twins
1366472-6047
12
Detroit Tigers
1356372+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1376275-7345
14
Athletics
1355382-18639
15
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Chicago Cubs
1367759+12957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1376869-1450
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1376671+2548
5
Cincinnati Reds
1366472-11047
1
Atlanta Braves
1368155+11660
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
3
Miami Marlins
1366868+1150
4
Washington Nationals
1386573+2047
5
New York Mets
1366175-5045
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1368155+14860
2
Arizona Diamondbacks
1377364+1053
3
San Diego Padres
1367264+1153
4
San Francisco Giants
1365581-7940
5
Colorado Rockies
1365284-14138
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Atlanta Braves
1368155+11660
3
Los Angeles Dodgers
1368155+14860
4
Chicago Cubs
1367759+12957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
6
Arizona Diamondbacks
1377364+1053
7
San Diego Padres
1367264+1153
8
Miami Marlins
1366868+1150
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1376869-1450
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1376671+2548
11
Washington Nationals
1386573+2047
12
Cincinnati Reds
1366472-11047
13
New York Mets
1366175-5045
14
San Francisco Giants
1365581-7940
15
Colorado Rockies
1365284-14138

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+

Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 58% probability (Toronto Blue Jays 42%).

What time does New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays start?+

First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+

New York Yankees: 0, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Toronto Blue Jays: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-1.