New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 11 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a tightly contested matchup as both teams have shown strong recent form, particularly in scoring. The New York Yankees average slightly fewer runs than the Toronto Blue Jays in recent games, but their favorable head-to-head record may play a significant role. Given the strong performance by both clubs, the numbers suggest a slight edge for the Yankees at home.
- New York Yankees averaging 3.6 runs scored per game in last 10 matches
- Toronto Blue Jays averaging 4.2 runs scored per game in last 10 matches
- Recent head-to-head record shows both teams evenly matched
- Yankees won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Blue Jays
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Poor recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 49.71% — final result was New York Yankees win, New York Yankees 8-3 Toronto Blue Jays.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (62/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto Blue Jays.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Yankees | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.32▲ | 1.31 |
| -2 | 2.97▼ | 1.37▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.50▲ | 1.54▲ |
| -1 | 2.06▼ | 1.76▲ |
| +1 | 1.50▼ | 2.53▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.83▲ |
| +2 | 1.20▼ | 3.90▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.24 | 3.90▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.36▼ | 2.99▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.49▼ | 2.56▲ |
| 7 | 1.61▼ | 2.27▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.85▼ | 1.97▲ |
| 8 | 1.98▼ | 1.81▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.13▼ | 1.70▲ |
| 9 | 2.48▼ | 1.51▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.67▼ | 1.45▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 49.71% probability (Toronto Blue Jays 50.29%).
What time does New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:35 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+
New York Yankees: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 3, 2, 1. Toronto Blue Jays: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 8-3.

