Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 10 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
Data suggests that the New York Yankees have struggled defensively recently, allowing an average of 4.7 runs over their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, the Toronto Blue Jays performed well in their recent head-to-head matchups, securing victories in 3 out of their last 5 encounters against the Yankees. The numbers favor the Yankees based on their scoring averages, but the Blue Jays' recent form against them adds an interesting dynamic.
- Toronto Blue Jays won 3 of the last 5 encounters against the Yankees.
- New York Yankees have conceded an average of 4.7 runs per game in their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays scored an average of 3.5 runs per game in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Historical edgeNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 55% — final result was Toronto Blue Jays win, Toronto Blue Jays 4-1 New York Yankees.
Predicted score was 3-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with New York Yankees.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.00▲ | 1.23▼ |
| -1 | 3.56▲ | 1.27▼ |
| +1 | 2.18▲ | 1.67▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.94▼ |
| +2 | 1.65▲ | 2.22▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.52▲ | 2.49▼ |
| +3 | 1.38▲ | 2.96▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.29▲ | 3.34▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.84▼ |
| 6 | 1.48▲ | 2.59▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.63▲ | 2.24▼ |
| 7 | 1.81▲ | 1.97▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 8 | 2.27▲ | 1.62▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.44▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 9 | 2.90▲ | 1.37▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 55% probability (Toronto Blue Jays 45%).
What time does Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees start?+
First pitch is at Aug 15, 2026, 7:07 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Toronto Blue Jays: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2. New York Yankees: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-1.

