New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
 Toronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Recent form suggests that the New York Yankees are performing well at home, having won four of their last five matches, while the Toronto Blue Jays have struggled, losing three of their last five fixtures. The head-to-head record favors the Yankees slightly, but the overall scoring averages indicate a competitive matchup where the Blue Jays typically score more. The analysis leans toward a close contest, with Toronto possibly edging it.
- New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Toronto Blue Jays have lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Last 10 matches averaged shows Yankees scoring 3.7 and conceding 2.3 per game
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Toronto Blue Jays
- Good recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 47% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Toronto Blue Jays at 47% — final result was Toronto Blue Jays win, New York Yankees 3-4 Toronto Blue Jays.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto Blue Jays.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Yankees | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.95▲ | 1.24▼ |
| -2 | 3.77▲ | 1.25▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.90▲ | 1.39▼ |
| -1 | 2.43▲ | 1.54▼ |
| +1 | 1.64▲ | 2.23▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.50▲ | 2.60▼ |
| +2 | 1.34▲ | 3.20▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.28▲ | 3.58▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.31▲ | 3.24▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.54▲ | 2.43▼ |
| 6 | 1.62▲ | 2.26▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.82▲ | 2.01▼ |
| 7 | 2.01▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.30▲ | 1.59▼ |
| 8 | 2.57▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.77▲ | 1.42▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
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Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati RedsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+
Our AI model favors Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 47% probability (New York Yankees 53%).
What time does New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:35 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?+
New York Yankees: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0. Toronto Blue Jays: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 3-4.