Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 0 |
 New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-7
The analysis indicates that the New York Yankees, with a higher season win percentage and stronger head-to-head performance, hold an advantage in this matchup. The Blue Jays, while competitive at home, have shown fluctuations in their recent form, especially against quality opponents.
- Toronto Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 10 games, averaging 4.3 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed.
- New York Yankees have a stronger overall season record at 68-53 and have scored 545 runs compared to the Blue Jays' 482 runs.
- Historically, the Yankees have performed well against the Blue Jays, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Yankees
- Higher league positionNew York Yankees
New York Yankees sit 2 places above Toronto Blue Jays in the table.
#2 vs #4 - Tighter defenseToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays are conceding just 4.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.4/game conceded - Historical edgeNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 57% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Yankees at 57% — final result was Toronto Blue Jays win, Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 New York Yankees.
Predicted score was 5-7.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with New York Yankees.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.41▼ | 1.29▲ |
| -1 | 2.98▼ | 1.36▲ |
| +1 | 1.96▼ | 1.84▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.74▼ | 2.12▲ |
| +2 | 1.55▼ | 2.41▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.44▼ | 2.70▲ |
| +3 | 1.33▼ | 3.20▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.25▲ | 3.72 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.36▲ | 3.00▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.48▲ | 2.59▼ |
| 7 | 1.59▲ | 2.31▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.81▲ | 1.99▼ |
| 8 | 1.96▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.71▼ |
| 9 | 2.41▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.65▲ | 1.46▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Colorado RockiesNew York Yankees
Boston Red SoxToronto Blue Jays
Seattle MarinersFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Our AI model favors New York Yankees to win, with a 57% probability (Toronto Blue Jays 43%).
What time does Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees start?+
First pitch is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Toronto Blue Jays: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1. New York Yankees: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-1.