Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
 New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests a strong advantage for the Toronto Blue Jays, who have consistently performed well against the New York Yankees, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters. With a home scoring average of 3.8 runs and solid defensive statistics, the Blue Jays appear poised for another victory. In contrast, the Yankees have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 4.8 runs in recent games, which may hinder their chances. The predicted outcome reflects this trend, favoring the Blue Jays to secure a narrow win.
- Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against the Yankees.
- Blue Jays average 3.8 runs scored and 2.9 runs conceded in their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees have lost their last 3 matches against the Blue Jays.
- Yankees have a higher average of 4.8 runs conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Toronto Blue Jays
- Historical edgeToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formNew York Yankees
New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Toronto Blue Jays at 50% — final result was New York Yankees win, Toronto Blue Jays 3-4 New York Yankees.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Yankees have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with New York Yankees.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.71▲ | 1.26▼ |
| -2 | 3.43▲ | 1.30▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.71▲ | 1.45▼ |
| -1 | 2.23▲ | 1.64▼ |
| +1 | 1.54▼ | 2.43▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.45▲ | 2.71▲ |
| +2 | 1.28▼ | 3.43▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.24▼ | 3.76▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.53▲ | 2.48▼ |
| 6 | 1.61▲ | 2.32▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.79▲ | 2.04▼ |
| 7 | 1.99▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.21▲ | 1.68▼ |
| 8 | 2.49▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.58▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 9 | 2.94▲ | 1.37▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Who is likely to win Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Our AI model favors Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 50% probability (New York Yankees 50%).
What time does Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees start?+
First pitch is at Aug 16, 2026, 5:37 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees?+
Toronto Blue Jays: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1. New York Yankees: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 3-4.