Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nippon Ham Fighters | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-2
Data suggests a competitive match between Nippon Ham Fighters and Seibu Lions, with Nippon Ham having a stronger scoring average despite their recent losses. Historically, Nippon Ham has had the upper hand in their matchups but Seibu Lions recently secured a victory against them. Given Seibu's defensive struggles, the numbers favor Nippon Ham Fighters for a possible win.
- Seibu Lions won the last meeting 1-0 away
- Nippon Ham Fighters average 3.1 goals scored per game
- Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Seibu Lions have conceded an average of 4.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nippon Ham Fighters
- Poor recent formNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nippon Ham Fighters at 59% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Nippon Ham Fighters 2-5 Seibu Lions.
Predicted score was 3-2.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nippon Ham Fighters are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Seibu Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Nippon Ham Fighters | Seibu Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.20▼ | 1.33▲ |
| -3 | 2.99▲ | 1.33▼ |
| -2.5 | 2.47 | 1.48 |
| -2 | 2.23▲ | 1.58▼ |
| -1.5 | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| -1 | 1.65▲ | 2.06▼ |
| -0.5 | 1.44▼ | 2.61▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.78▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.44▲ | 2.57▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.60▲ | 2.22▼ |
| 7 | 1.73▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.97▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 8 | 2.14▲ | 1.63▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.34▲ | 1.54▼ |
| 9 | 2.72▲ | 1.40▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.90 | 1.38 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 | Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions?+
Our AI model favors Nippon Ham Fighters to win, with a 59% probability (Seibu Lions 41%).
What time does Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions?+
Nippon Ham Fighters: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0. Final: 2-5.