Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nippon Ham Fighters | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 10 | 0 |
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests a competitive matchup, with Seibu Lions having secured three victories in their last five encounters against the Nippon Ham Fighters. The home side has shown offensive strength with an average of 3.3 goals scored in their last ten matches, though they also concede significantly. Conversely, the Seibu Lions have a troubling defensive record, conceding an average of 4.3 goals per game recently, which might lead to a high-scoring outcome.
- Seibu Lions won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Nippon Ham Fighters
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 3.3 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- Seibu Lions have conceded an average of 4.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nippon Ham Fighters
- Poor recent formNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 54% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nippon Ham Fighters at 54% — final result was Nippon Ham Fighters win, Nippon Ham Fighters 8-2 Seibu Lions.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nippon Ham Fighters are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Seibu Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Nippon Ham Fighters | Seibu Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.97▼ | 1.35▲ |
| -2 | 2.69▼ | 1.41▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.27▼ | 1.60▲ |
| -1 | 1.85▼ | 1.81▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.60▼ | 2.20▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.56▼ | 2.31▲ |
| +1 | 1.38▼ | 2.67▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.34▼ | 3.03▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.37▲ | 2.73▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.50▲ | 2.42▼ |
| 7 | 1.63▲ | 2.15▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.84▲ | 1.90▼ |
| 8 | 2.00▲ | 1.73▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.16▲ | 1.63▼ |
| 9 | 2.50▲ | 1.46▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.76▲ | 1.41▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 | Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions?+
Our AI model favors Nippon Ham Fighters to win, with a 54% probability (Seibu Lions 46%).
What time does Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions?+
Nippon Ham Fighters: 3, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 0, 0. Seibu Lions: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 8-2.