Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Statistically, the Seibu Lions show a stronger home advantage with a 53% win rate and favorable recent form where they generally allow fewer runs. However, the Nippon Ham Fighters' historical success against Seibu, including an 8-2 record in recent matchups, suggests a competitive edge in head-to-head scenarios. The expected outcome reflects a close game, with Seibu Lions slightly favored to win based on their home performance and the Fighters' struggles away from home.
- Seibu Lions have a home win rate of 53% this season.
- Nippon Ham Fighters have won 8 of the last 10 matchups against Seibu Lions.
- In their last 10 games, Seibu Lions have averaged 3.9 runs scored and allowed only 2.8.
- Nippon Ham Fighters have a lower away win rate at 45% compared to Seibu's home performance.],
- content":"Statistically, the Seibu Lions show a stronger home advantage with a 53% win rate and favorable recent form where they generally allow fewer runs. However, the Nippon Ham Fighters' historical success against Seibu, including an 8-2 record in recent matchups, suggests a competitive edge in head-to-head scenarios. The expected outcome reflects a close game, with Seibu Lions slightly favored to win based on their home performance and the Fighters' struggles away from home."} Maxwell 5:18 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Recommended by Maxwell 5:19 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Recommended by Maxwell 5:19 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Notes 4, 27 December 2022 8, 19 December 2022 19 5, 19 December 11, 3 11, 3 5:19 PM 19.52 T 6, 13 4, 19 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 19.52 4, 27 4, 27 8, 19 16 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 18 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 19, 18 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 4, 16 4, 16 1: 4, 5, 4 GBP 5:19 PM 4. 5, 19 4, 4, 19.35 4, 19 5, 4, 19 --- 5. 5, 19 1, 5, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 18 4, 19 5, 19 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 خبر 5, 19 5, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5, 4, 19 --- ✂ 19 5, 4, 19.12 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4, 19.12 5, 4, 19 5, 4 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 19 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 16 5, 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4:17 PM 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) --- 16 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 19 5, 4 19 4, 19 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100)--- 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 19 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4:17 PM 19 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) --- 5, 4 5, 4 19 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 19 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 4, 19 Search... 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM,... 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:4 5:19 PM 5:4 19 4:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 4:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 ... 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 ,5,4, 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 4:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5,4, 5:5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100)} 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:4 19, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 19, 5 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:4 4,19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5,4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 19, 4... 6 5:19 PM 5, 4 19, 5 5,4 ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 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Protocol: 5,4}}. 5, 4}} 5,4}}},
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.9 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.9/game conceded - Sharper attackNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters are averaging 6 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
6/game - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formNippon Ham Fighters
Nippon Ham Fighters have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 52% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Seibu Lions 3-1 Nippon Ham Fighters.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seibu Lions have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Nippon Ham Fighters.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seibu Lions | Nippon Ham Fighters |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.04▲ | 1.33 |
| -1 | 2.47 | 1.44 |
| -0.5 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| +0.5 | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| +1 | 1.57 | 2.19 |
| +1.5 | 1.46▼ | 2.60▲ |
| +2 | 1.31▼ | 3.16▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.27▼ | 3.50▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.25 | 3.49▼ |
| 4.5 | 1.39▲ | 2.77▼ |
| 5 | 1.49▲ | 2.48▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.73▲ | 2.04▼ |
| 6 | 1.86▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 6.5 | 2.06▲ | 1.69▼ |
| 7 | 2.42▲ | 1.50▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.71▲ | 1.42▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — | |
| 2 | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — | |
| 3 | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — | |
| 4 | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — | |
| 5 | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — | |
| 6 | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — | |
| 1 | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — | |
| 2 | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — | |
| 3 | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — | |
| 4 | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — | |
| 5 | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — | |
| 6 | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 52% probability (Nippon Ham Fighters 48%).
What time does Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+
Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1. Nippon Ham Fighters: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 3-1.

