Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters

NPB
WWLWRuns 41-292nd in Pacific Division · 66-52
LLWWRuns 60-453rd in Pacific Division · 64-54
Home11W 9L(67-68)
Away10W 10L(88-59)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Seibu Lions
000011013101
Nippon Ham Fighters
000000010180

AI match analysis

Seibu Lions win
52%
Nippon Ham Fighters win
48%

Predicted score: 4-3

Statistically, the Seibu Lions show a stronger home advantage with a 53% win rate and favorable recent form where they generally allow fewer runs. However, the Nippon Ham Fighters' historical success against Seibu, including an 8-2 record in recent matchups, suggests a competitive edge in head-to-head scenarios. The expected outcome reflects a close game, with Seibu Lions slightly favored to win based on their home performance and the Fighters' struggles away from home.

  • Seibu Lions have a home win rate of 53% this season.
  • Nippon Ham Fighters have won 8 of the last 10 matchups against Seibu Lions.
  • In their last 10 games, Seibu Lions have averaged 3.9 runs scored and allowed only 2.8.
  • Nippon Ham Fighters have a lower away win rate at 45% compared to Seibu's home performance.],
  • content":"Statistically, the Seibu Lions show a stronger home advantage with a 53% win rate and favorable recent form where they generally allow fewer runs. However, the Nippon Ham Fighters' historical success against Seibu, including an 8-2 record in recent matchups, suggests a competitive edge in head-to-head scenarios. The expected outcome reflects a close game, with Seibu Lions slightly favored to win based on their home performance and the Fighters' struggles away from home."} Maxwell 5:18 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Recommended by Maxwell 5:19 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Recommended by Maxwell 5:19 PM 2, 19 December 2022 79 Notes 4, 27 December 2022 8, 19 December 2022 19 5, 19 December 11, 3 11, 3 5:19 PM 19.52 T 6, 13 4, 19 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 19.52 4, 27 4, 27 8, 19 16 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 18 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 19, 18 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 4, 16 4, 16 1: 4, 5, 4 GBP 5:19 PM 4. 5, 19 4, 4, 19.35 4, 19 5, 4, 19 --- 5. 5, 19 1, 5, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 18 4, 19 5, 19 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 19, 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 خبر 5, 19 5, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5, 4, 19 --- ✂ 19 5, 4, 19.12 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4, 19.12 5, 4, 19 5, 4 19 5, 4, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5, 19 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5, 4 4:17 PM 16 5, 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4:17 PM 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) --- 16 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 19 5, 4 19 4, 19 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100)--- 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 19 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5, 4 4:17 PM 19 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) --- 5, 4 5, 4 19 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 4, 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 4, 19 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 4:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 19 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 4, 19 Search... 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM,... 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 (100) 5:4 5:19 PM 5:4 19 4:19 PM 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 4:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 ... 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 ,5,4, 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 4:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5,4, 5:5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 (100)} 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:4 19, 4, 19 5, 4, 19 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:4 19, 5 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 (100) 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:4 4,19 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5,4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 19, 4... 6 5:19 PM 5, 4 19, 5 5,4 ... 5:19 PM 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 5, 4 5, 4 5, 4 5:19 PM 5:19 PM 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Protocol: 5,4}}. 5, 4}} 5,4}}},
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Seibu Lions

  • Tighter defenseSeibu Lions

    Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.9 runs per game over their recent matches.

    2.9/game conceded
  • Sharper attackNippon Ham Fighters

    Nippon Ham Fighters are averaging 6 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    6/game
  • Good recent formSeibu Lions

    Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formNippon Ham Fighters

    Nippon Ham Fighters have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Seibu Lions at 52% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Seibu Lions 3-1 Nippon Ham Fighters.

Predicted score was 4-3.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Nippon Ham Fighters1.85market 54% · model 48%
Seibu Lions1.90market 52.6% · model 52%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Seibu Lions have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nippon Ham Fighters have averaged 6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Nippon Ham Fighters.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Seibu Lions1.90best 1.95AI 52%
Nippon Ham Fighters1.85best 1.93AI 48%

Point spread

LineSeibu LionsNippon Ham Fighters
-1.53.041.33
-12.471.44
-0.51.961.75
+0.51.841.85
+11.572.19
+1.51.462.60
+21.313.16
+2.51.273.50

Total points

LineOverUnder
41.253.49
4.51.392.77
51.492.48
5.51.732.04
61.861.84
6.52.061.69
72.421.50
7.52.711.42

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Seibu Lions1.90
Nippon Ham Fighters1.85
25 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Seibu Lions win+2.7pp
AI
52%
Market
49.3%
Nippon Ham Fighters win-2.7pp
AI
48%
Market
50.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Seibu Lions wins
3Nippon Ham Fighters wins
14-27Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1146450+6356
2
Yomiuri Giants
1166353+3354
3
Yokohama BayStars
1155164+344
4
Yakult Swallows
1145064-8144
5
Chunichi Dragons
1185167-443
6
Hiroshima Carp
1114665-7241
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1157144+17962
2
Seibu Lions
1186652+3356
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1186454+6254
4
Orix Buffaloes
1175661-6948
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1125260-6946
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1144569-7840

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+

Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 52% probability (Nippon Ham Fighters 48%).

What time does Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters start?+

First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters?+

Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1. Nippon Ham Fighters: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 3-1.