Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orix Buffaloes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The numbers favor Orix Buffaloes with a solid home win rate of 55% and historical success against Rakuten Gold. Eagles, winning 8 of their last 10 meetings. Orix has averaged 4 runs scored recently, while Rakuten has struggled with an average of just 3.3 runs in their last 10 games. With these factors in mind, Orix is likely to edge out the victory in this matchup.
- Orix Buffaloes have a 55% home win rate this season.
- Orix Buffaloes scored an average of 4 runs in their last 10 games.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have a weaker overall record and have only a 0.387 win pct in the season.
- Historically, Orix Buffaloes have won 8 of the last 10 encounters against Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Orix Buffaloes
- Tighter defenseRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are conceding just 3.9 runs per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game conceded - Historical edgeOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes are averaging 3.2 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.2/game - Higher league positionOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes sit 2 places above Rakuten Gold. Eagles in the table.
#4 vs #6
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Orix Buffaloes at 55% — final result was Rakuten Gold. Eagles win, Orix Buffaloes 1-5 Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Orix Buffaloes are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Orix Buffaloes | Rakuten Gold. Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.22▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.67 | 1.44▲ |
| -1 | 2.12▼ | 1.61▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.80 | 1.89 |
| +0.5 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| +1 | 1.49▼ | 2.34▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.42▼ | 2.67▲ |
| +2 | 1.32▼ | 3.14▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
| 6 | 1.45 | 2.54▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.60▲ | 2.21 |
| 7 | 1.74 | 1.97 |
| 7.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.76▼ |
| 8 | 2.15▲ | 1.63▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.37▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 9 | 2.73▲ | 1.39▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 | Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Our AI model favors Orix Buffaloes to win, with a 55% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 45%).
What time does Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Orix Buffaloes: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 1. Final: 1-5.