Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes

NPB
WLWLRuns 45-396th in Pacific Division · 45-70
LWLLRuns 32-554th in Pacific Division · 56-62
Home8W 12L(59-85)
Away10W 10L(63-70)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
000005027110
Orix Buffaloes
000200000270

AI match analysis

Rakuten Gold. Eagles win
37%
Orix Buffaloes win
52%

Predicted score: 2-4

Statistical analysis indicates that Orix Buffaloes have a commanding advantage over Rakuten Gold. Eagles, having won all of their last five matchups. Additionally, the Eagles' defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.6 runs per game recently, while the Buffaloes' offense has outperformed with an average of 4.8 runs scored in the same timeframe.

  • Orix Buffaloes have won the last 5 head-to-head encounters against Rakuten Gold. Eagles
  • Rakuten Gold. Eagles have conceded an average of 4.6 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Orix Buffaloes average 4.8 runs scored per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Orix Buffaloes

  • Historical edgeOrix Buffaloes

    Orix Buffaloes have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles

    Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Poor recent formOrix Buffaloes

    Orix Buffaloes have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Orix Buffaloes at 52% — final result was Rakuten Gold. Eagles win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 7-2 Orix Buffaloes.

Predicted score was 2-4.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Orix Buffaloes1.65market 60.5% · model 52%
Rakuten Gold. Eagles2.18market 45.9% · model 37%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Orix Buffaloes.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Rakuten Gold. Eagles2.18best 2.28AI 37%
Orix Buffaloes1.65best 1.71AI 52%

Point spread

LineRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix Buffaloes
-12.881.33
-0.52.201.60
+0.52.091.67
+11.811.85
+1.51.642.18
+21.472.48
+2.51.382.79
+31.283.26

Total points

LineOverUnder
51.283.15
5.51.502.47
61.572.27
6.51.722.04
71.891.81
7.52.141.64
82.421.50
8.52.581.48

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Rakuten Gold. Eagles2.18 0.01
Orix Buffaloes1.65
12 Aug12 Aug

Model vs market

Rakuten Gold. Eagles win-6.1pp
AI
37%
Market
43.1%
Orix Buffaloes win-4.9pp
AI
52%
Market
56.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Rakuten Gold. Eagles wins
3Orix Buffaloes wins
25-29Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1156550+6656
2
Yomiuri Giants
1176354+3054
3
Yokohama BayStars
1165264+545
4
Yakult Swallows
1155164-7944
5
Chunichi Dragons
1195168-643
6
Hiroshima Carp
1124666-7441
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1167244+18162
2
Seibu Lions
1196752+3756
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1196554+6455
4
Orix Buffaloes
1185662-7148
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1135261-7146
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1154570-8239

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes?+

Our AI model favors Orix Buffaloes to win, with a 52% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 48%).

What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes start?+

First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes?+

Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 2. Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-2.