Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Value found
+0.1% edgeRakuten Gold. Eagles win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orix Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The numbers favor the Orix Buffaloes, who have historically performed better against the Rakuten Gold. Eagles, winning 7 of their last 10 matchups. Current statistics suggest a close contest, with Orix having a stronger home record and consistently outperforming Rakuten in recent encounters. This sets the stage for a probable outcome favoring the Buffaloes, with a predicted score reflecting a narrow victory.
- Orix Buffaloes have won 7 of their last 10 games against Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
- Orix Buffaloes have a better home win rate at 50% compared to Rakuten's 45% away win rate.
- Last 10 games show Orix averaging 3.8 runs scored and 5.5 runs allowed, while Rakuten averages 3.6 runs scored and 3.7 runs allowed.
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Orix Buffaloes
- Tighter defenseRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are conceding just 3.9 runs per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game conceded - Historical edgeOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes sit 2 places above Rakuten Gold. Eagles in the table.
#4 vs #6 - Strong home recordOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes have won 9 of their last 20 home matches.
9/20 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 54% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Orix Buffaloes at 54% — final result was Rakuten Gold. Eagles win, Orix Buffaloes 4-12 Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Orix Buffaloes are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Orix Buffaloes | Rakuten Gold. Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.21▲ | 1.31▼ |
| -2 | 2.96 | 1.34 |
| -1.5 | 2.43▲ | 1.52▼ |
| -1 | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| -0.5 | 1.67▲ | 2.10▼ |
| +0.5 | 1.60 | 2.21 |
| +1 | 1.43 | 2.50 |
| +1.5 | 1.36 | 2.88▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.40 | 2.85 |
| 6 | 1.46▲ | 2.52▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.61▲ | 2.18▲ |
| 7 | 1.77▲ | 1.95 |
| 7.5 | 2.04▲ | 1.73▼ |
| 8 | 2.20▲ | 1.59▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.41▼ | 1.51 |
| 9 | 2.77▲ | 1.38▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 | Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Our AI model favors Orix Buffaloes to win, with a 54% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 46%).
What time does Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 0. Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 1, 0, 9, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1. Final: 4-12.