Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orix Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 | 11 | 1 |
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a closely contested matchup as both teams have 50% win rates at home and away, respectively. Orix Buffaloes have demonstrated slightly better performance overall and a stronger recent home presence, despite their struggles in run prevention. Historically, the Buffaloes have had a stronger head-to-head record, but Rakuten's recent victory could factor into today's game dynamics.
- Orix Buffaloes have a 50% home win rate this season.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles rank 6th in the division with a 0.393 win pct.
- Orix Buffaloes scored an average of 3.9 runs but allowed 5.2 in their last 10 games.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles recently won 5-1 against Orix Buffaloes in their last matchup.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Orix Buffaloes
- Tighter defenseRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are conceding just 3.9 runs per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game conceded - Historical edgeRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes sit 2 places above Rakuten Gold. Eagles in the table.
#4 vs #6 - Poor recent formOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 53% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Orix Buffaloes at 53% — final result was Orix Buffaloes win, Orix Buffaloes 7-5 Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Orix Buffaloes are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Orix Buffaloes | Rakuten Gold. Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.84▲ | 1.38 |
| -1 | 2.31 | 1.50 |
| -0.5 | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| +0.5 | 1.79 | 1.90 |
| +1 | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| +1.5 | 1.49▼ | 2.50▲ |
| +2 | 1.37▲ | 2.87▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.31 | 3.20▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.36▲ | 2.90▼ |
| 6 | 1.41▲ | 2.67▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.55▲ | 2.32▼ |
| 7 | 1.68▲ | 2.06▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 8 | 2.06▲ | 1.68▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.25▲ | 1.59▼ |
| 9 | 2.58▲ | 1.44▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 | Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Our AI model favors Orix Buffaloes to win, with a 53% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 47%).
What time does Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Orix Buffaloes vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 3. Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-5.