Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
 Orix Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup with Rakuten Gold. Eagles and Orix Buffaloes both showing strong offensive capabilities. The recent form of Rakuten, scoring an average of 2.9 goals, compared to Orix's higher average of 4.8, could create a dynamic contest. However, the split in recent head-to-head outcomes indicates the potential for a closely contested score, making a prediction of 4-3 in favor of the home side plausible.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 2.9 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 4.8 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- The last 5 head-to-head matches indicate a split in results, but recent matchup favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles
- Historical edgeRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formOrix Buffaloes
Orix Buffaloes have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 54% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rakuten Gold. Eagles at 54% — final result was Orix Buffaloes win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 2-8 Orix Buffaloes.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Orix Buffaloes have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Orix Buffaloes.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | Orix Buffaloes |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.66▼ | 1.43▲ |
| -1 | 2.16 | 1.57 |
| -0.5 | 1.79▼ | 1.93▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.71▼ | 2.04▲ |
| +1 | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| +1.5 | 1.44▼ | 2.67▲ |
| +2 | 1.30 | 3.23▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.26▲ | 3.52▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.46▼ | 2.58▲ |
| 6 | 1.51▼ | 2.41▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.68▼ | 2.11▲ |
| 7 | 1.84▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 7.5 | 2.06▼ | 1.69▲ |
| 8 | 2.28▼ | 1.55▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.50▼ | 1.51▲ |
| 9 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 | Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes?+
Our AI model favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles to win, with a 54% probability (Orix Buffaloes 46%).
What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes start?+
First pitch is at Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes?+
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Orix Buffaloes: 0, 0, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 3. Final: 2-8.